Jenson Brooksby vs. Lorenzo Sonego prediction, odds, picks for ATP Chengdu Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's Brooksby-Sonego men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Brooksby a 58% chance of winning against Sonego at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament. Additionally, Brooksby has a 57% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Brooksby (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Lorenzo Sonego +122, Jenson Brooksby -132
• First Set: Brooksby -139, Sonego +110

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Brooksby @ -132 via DraftKings
• First Set: Sonego @ -115 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Jenson Brooksby to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Chengdu Open match between Jenson Brooksby and Lorenzo Sonego is scheduled to commence on Friday at 1:00 AM ET.

• Who: Jenson Brooksby vs. Lorenzo Sonego
• Date: Friday, September 25, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:00 AM ET/10:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Chengdu, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Jenson Brooksby, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat Lorenzo Sonego at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.