Martin Damm vs. Hubert Hurkacz prediction, odds, picks for ATP Chengdu Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's Damm-Hurkacz men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Hurkacz a 66% chance of beating Damm at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament. Additionally, Hurkacz has a 62% chance of winning the first set, while the under 25.5 games has a 61% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Hubert Hurkacz -250, Martin Damm +231
• First Set: Damm +162, Hurkacz -200

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Damm @ +231 via DraftKings
• First Set: Hurkacz @ -110 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Martin Damm to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Chengdu Open match between Martin Damm and Hubert Hurkacz is scheduled to start on Friday at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: Martin Damm vs. Hubert Hurkacz
• Date: Friday, September 25, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Chengdu, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Hubert Hurkacz, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat Martin Damm at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.