Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elina Svitolina prediction, odds, picks for WTA Finals 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's Sabalenka-Svitolina women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Sabalenka a 61% chance of beating Svitolina at the WTA Finals 2026 tournament. Additionally, Sabalenka has a 60% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sabalenka (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Elina Svitolina +160, Aryna Sabalenka -189
• First Set: Sabalenka -164, Svitolina +130

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Svitolina @ +160 via DraftKings
• First Set: Svitolina @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Elina Svitolina to win.

Although Svitolina is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The WTA Finals 2026 match between Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina is scheduled to start on Friday at 4:10 PM ET.

• Who: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elina Svitolina
• Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
• Approx. Time: 4:10 PM ET/1:10 PM PT
• Tournament: WTA Finals Women's Singles 2026
• Round: 1

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Aryna Sabalenka, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat Elina Svitolina at the WTA Finals 2026 tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.