Alex Michelsen vs. Alejandro Tabilo prediction, odds, picks for ATP Stockholm Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's Michelsen-Tabilo men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Michelsen a 76% chance of defeating Tabilo at the ATP Stockholm Open tournament. Additionally, Michelsen has a 72% chance of winning the first set, while the under 22.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Alejandro Tabilo +289, Alex Michelsen -350
• First Set: Michelsen -250, Tabilo +200

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Tabilo @ +289 via DraftKings
• First Set: Tabilo @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Stockholm Open match between Alex Michelsen and Alejandro Tabilo is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 7:00 AM ET.

• Who: Alex Michelsen vs. Alejandro Tabilo
• Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
• Approx. Time: 7:00 AM ET/4:00 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Stockholm, Sweden Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Alex Michelsen, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Alejandro Tabilo at the ATP Stockholm Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.