Lorenzo Musetti vs. Ugo Humbert prediction, odds, picks for ATP Stockholm Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Thursday's Musetti-Humbert men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Musetti a 62% chance of defeating Humbert at the ATP Stockholm Open tournament. Additionally, Musetti has a 60% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Musetti (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 24.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Ugo Humbert +175, Lorenzo Musetti -198
• First Set: Musetti -189, Humbert +150

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Humbert @ +175 via DraftKings
• First Set: Humbert @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Ugo Humbert to win.

Although Humbert is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Stockholm Open match between Lorenzo Musetti and Ugo Humbert is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 1:40 PM ET.

• Who: Lorenzo Musetti vs. Ugo Humbert
• Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:40 PM ET/10:40 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Stockholm, Sweden Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Lorenzo Musetti, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Ugo Humbert at the ATP Stockholm Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.