Alexander Zverev vs. Rafael Jodar prediction, odds, picks for ATP World Tour Finals 2026

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's Zverev-Jodar men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Zverev a 64% chance of defeating Jodar at the ATP World Tour Finals 2026 tournament. Additionally, Zverev has a 63% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Zverev (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Rafael Jodar +199, Alexander Zverev -227
• First Set: Zverev -189, Jodar +150

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Jodar @ +199 via DraftKings
• First Set: Jodar @ -133 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Rafael Jodar to win.

Although Jodar is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP World Tour Finals 2026 match between Alexander Zverev and Rafael Jodar is scheduled to start on Sunday at 8:00 AM ET.

• Who: Alexander Zverev vs. Rafael Jodar
• Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
• Approx. Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP World Tour Finals Men's Singles 2026
• Round: 1

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Alexander Zverev, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Rafael Jodar at the ATP World Tour Finals 2026 tournament.

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This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.