Red Wings vs. Oilers Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Red Wings vs. Oilers in the NHL on Monday, October 26, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
NHL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Red Wings
vs.
Rogers Place
Oilers
Rogers Place
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Red Wings
    39.8%
    NovigNovig
  • Oilers
    60.2%
    NovigNovig
Player Props
Red Wings
Probability
  • Alex DeBrincat
    39.5%
  • Viktor Arvidsson
    35.3%
  • Dylan Larkin
    33.5%
  • Lucas Raymond
  • Emmitt Finnie
Oilers
Probability
  • Leon Draisaitl
    44.0%
  • Connor McDavid
    41.2%
  • Zach Hyman
    36.2%
  • Evan Bouchard
  • Vasily Podkolzin

Red Wings vs. Oilers prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Monday

  • Teams: Detroit Red Wings vs. Edmonton Oilers
  • Date: Monday, October 26, 2026
  • Puck drop: 9:30PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Place

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Red Wings (+1.5, -148), Oilers (-1.5, +147)
  • Moneyline: Red Wings +156, Oilers -163
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (-111/+106)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Red Wings: 39.8%
  • Oilers: 60.2%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Red Wings vs. Oilers player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Alex DeBrincat, Red Wings: 38.0%
  • Viktor Arvidsson, Red Wings: 35.2%
  • Leon Draisaitl, Oilers: 45.6%
  • Connor McDavid, Oilers: 40.7%

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  • All player prop probabilities for every NHL game.

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Wings a win probability of 39.8%, while the Oilers have a win probability of 60.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Red Wings in the NHL game at Rogers Place on Monday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Red Wings vs. Oilers, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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