Lightning vs. Mammoth prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 24, 2026

The Utah Mammoth are favored to beat the Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday, according to Dimers' NHL pregame model.

Our Lightning vs. Mammoth prediction gives Utah a 53.4% chance of winning at Delta Center, while the latest odds suggest the best betting value lies in under 6.5 goals.

Lightning vs. Mammoth: Key predictions

• Mammoth win probability: 53.4%
• Lightning win probability: 46.6%
• Lightning +1.5 puck line: 67.1% cover probability
• Under 6.5 goals: 52.2% probability

Dimers' NHL pregame model estimates how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent form, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

These projections power our NHL predictions, which show the probability of each team winning, covering the puck line, and the total goals going over or under the betting line.

Lightning vs. Mammoth odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets monitored by Dimers.

• Lightning moneyline: 44¢ (Novig)
• Mammoth moneyline: 57¢ (Novig)
• Lightning +1.5: 65¢ (Novig)
• Mammoth -1.5: 36¢ (Novig)
• Over 6.5 goals: 53¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: 49¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Best value bet: Under 6.5 (49¢)

The Mammoth may be more likely to win, but Dimers' top value bet is under 6.5 total goals at 49¢, available at Novig.

Those odds imply a 49.0% chance of the game finishing under 6.5 goals, while our model puts that probability at 52.2%.

That's a 3.2% edge on the under, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets based on Dimers' probabilities and the best available odds.

Lightning vs. Mammoth goal-scorer predictions

Unlike our NHL pregame model, Dimers' NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, the opposing team, and projected team goals.

Brandon Hagel of the Lightning leads Saturday's anytime goal-scorer projections at 36.9%, ahead of teammate Nikita Kucherov (36.4%). Utah's most likely goal-scorer, Dylan Guenther, follows at 33.9%. Hagel also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 8.4%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

• Brandon Hagel (Lightning): 36.9%
• Nikita Kucherov (Lightning): 36.4%
• Dylan Guenther (Mammoth): 33.9%
• Jake Guentzel (Lightning): 33.1%
• Nick Schmaltz (Mammoth): 30.8%

First goal-scorer predictions

• Brandon Hagel (Lightning): 8.4%
• Nikita Kucherov (Lightning): 7.8%
• Jake Guentzel (Lightning): 6.3%
• Dylan Guenther (Mammoth): 6.2%
• Nick Schmaltz (Mammoth): 5.9%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Unlock all Lightning vs. Mammoth predictions with Dimers Pro

Get the complete picture for Saturday's matchup with Dimers Pro, including:

• Best bets for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams.
• High-value player props across anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets.

See our full range of Lightning vs. Mammoth predictions.

Lightning vs. Mammoth game details

• Matchup: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Utah Hockey Club
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Puck drop: 9:00 PM ET/6:00 PM PT
• Venue: Delta Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from Dimers' proprietary NHL models, presented through a human-written template. Matchup-specific information is populated automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and may change as new information becomes available. Learn more about how Dimers predictions work.

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