Maple Leafs vs. Flames Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Maple Leafs
- Flames
- Auston Matthews38.3%
- William Nylander38.1%
- Kirill Marchenko27.9%
- Jack Roslovic
- Darren Raddysh
- Aydar Suniev30.2%
- Joel Farabee28.6%
- Matthew Coronato26.4%
- Morgan Frost
- Yegor Sharangovich
Maple Leafs vs. Flames prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Monday
- Teams: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Calgary Flames
- Date: Monday, October 26, 2026
- Puck drop: 8:30PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Maple Leafs (-1.5, +167), Flames (+1.5, -164)
- Moneyline: Maple Leafs -144, Flames +140
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (-115/+113)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 55.9%
- Flames: 44.1%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Maple Leafs vs. Flames player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- Auston Matthews, Maple Leafs: 39.8%
- William Nylander, Maple Leafs: 38.6%
- Joel Farabee, Flames: 29.4%
- Aydar Suniev, Flames: 28.1%
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 55.9%, while the Flames have a win probability of 44.1%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Scotiabank Saddledome on Monday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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