Islanders vs. Stars prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 25, 2026

The Dallas Stars are favored to beat the New York Islanders on Sunday, according to Dimers' NHL pregame model.

Our Islanders vs. Stars prediction gives Dallas a 61.7% chance of winning at American Airlines Center, but the latest odds suggest value in betting on the Islanders to cover the +1.5 puck line.

Islanders vs. Stars: Key predictions

• Stars win probability: 61.7%
• Islanders win probability: 38.3%
• Islanders +1.5 puck line: 62.2% cover probability
• Under 5.5 goals: 50.8% probability

Dimers' NHL pregame model estimates how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent form, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

These projections power our NHL predictions, which show the probability of each team winning, covering the puck line, and the total goals going over or under the betting line.

Islanders vs. Stars odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets monitored by Dimers.

• Islanders moneyline: 37¢ (Novig)
• Stars moneyline: 63¢ (Novig)
• Islanders +1.5: -155 (BetMGM)
• Stars -1.5: 40¢ (Novig)
• Over 5.5 goals: 48¢ (Novig)
• Under 5.5 goals: 53¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Best value bet: Islanders +1.5 (-155)

The Stars may be more likely to win, but Dimers' top value bet is the Islanders to cover the +1.5 puck line at -155, available at BetMGM.

Those odds imply the Islanders have a 60.8% chance of covering the spread, while our model puts that probability at 62.2%.

That's a 1.4% edge in the Islanders' favor, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets based on Dimers' probabilities and the best available odds.

Islanders vs. Stars goal-scorer predictions

Unlike our NHL pregame model, Dimers' NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, the opposing team, and projected team goals.

Jason Robertson of the Stars leads Sunday's anytime goal-scorer projections at 39.2%, ahead of teammate Wyatt Johnston (36.2%). NY's most likely goal-scorer, Bo Horvat, is further back at 32.9%. Robertson also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 8.5%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

• Jason Robertson (Stars): 39.2%
• Wyatt Johnston (Stars): 36.2%
• Bo Horvat (Islanders): 32.9%
• Mikko Rantanen (Stars): 32.3%
• Roope Hintz (Stars): 25.6%

First goal-scorer predictions

• Jason Robertson (Stars): 8.5%
• Wyatt Johnston (Stars): 7.6%
• Mikko Rantanen (Stars): 7.3%
• Bo Horvat (Islanders): 6.3%
• Roope Hintz (Stars): 5.1%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Unlock all Islanders vs. Stars predictions with Dimers Pro

Get the complete picture for Sunday's matchup with Dimers Pro, including:

• Best bets for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams.
• High-value player props across anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets.

See our full range of Islanders vs. Stars predictions.

Islanders vs. Stars game details

• Matchup: NY Islanders vs. Dallas Stars
• Date: Sunday, October 25, 2026
• Puck drop: 6:00 PM ET/3:00 PM PT
• Venue: American Airlines Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from Dimers' proprietary NHL models, presented through a human-written template. Matchup-specific information is populated automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and may change as new information becomes available. Learn more about how Dimers predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.