Capitals vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Senators NHL game on January 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
NHL
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
NHL sport icon
NHL
Capitals
3
4
Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Canadian Tire Centre
TEAM123T
Capitals
2 0 1 3
Senators
0 2 2 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Capitals
    0%
  • Senators
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Capitals
2 0 1 3
Senators
0 2 2 4
P3 19:43 Shot missed by John Carlson
P3 19:38 Michael Amadio shot blocked by John Carlson
P3 19:02 Shot missed by Dylan Strome
P3 19:00 Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Leevi Merilainen
P3 18:52 Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P3 18:41 Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
P3 17:59 Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Leevi Merilainen
P3 17:47 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 17:38 Goal scored by Fabian Zetterlund assisted by Thomas Chabot and Tim Stutzle
P3 16:42 Shot missed by John Carlson
P3 16:41 Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Leevi Merilainen
P3 16:25 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Leevi Merilainen
P3 15:53 Goal scored by Aliaksei Protas assisted by Justin Sourdif and Tom Wilson
P3 14:50 Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Logan Thompson
P3 13:36 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P3 13:14 Power play - David Perron shot blocked by John Carlson
P3 13:04 Power play - Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 12:55 Power play - Shane Pinto shot blocked by John Carlson
P3 12:26 Power play - Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P3 11:48 Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Logan Thompson
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  3. P3 19:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Carlson
  4. P3 19:38
    SHOT
    Michael Amadio shot blocked by John Carlson
  5. P3 19:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Strome
  6. P3 19:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Leevi Merilainen
  7. P3 18:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
  8. P3 18:43
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  9. P3 18:43
    Stoppage - Icing
  10. P3 18:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
  11. P3 18:31
    Jake Sanderson credited with hit on Aliaksei Protas in defensive zone
  12. P3 18:18
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  13. P3 18:18
    Stoppage - Icing
  14. P3 18:01
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  15. P3 18:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  16. P3 17:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Leevi Merilainen
  17. P3 17:51
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  18. P3 17:51
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  19. P3 17:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  20. P3 17:45
    Giveaway by Nick Jensen in defensive zone
  21. P3 17:38
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  22. P3 17:38
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Fabian Zetterlund assisted by Thomas Chabot and Tim Stutzle
    3-4
  23. P3 16:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Carlson
  24. P3 16:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Leevi Merilainen
  25. P3 16:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Leevi Merilainen
  26. P3 15:53
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  27. P3 15:53
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Aliaksei Protas assisted by Justin Sourdif and Tom Wilson
    3-3
  28. P3 15:36
    Michael Amadio credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in neutral zone
  29. P3 14:58
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
  30. P3 14:58
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  31. P3 14:52
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  32. P3 14:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  33. P3 14:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Logan Thompson
  34. P3 14:49
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  35. P3 14:49
    Stoppage - Icing
  36. P3 13:36
    SHOT
    Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  37. P3 13:17
    Shorthanded - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  38. P3 13:17
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  39. P3 13:14
    SHOT
    Power play - David Perron shot blocked by John Carlson
  40. P3 13:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  41. P3 12:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Shane Pinto shot blocked by John Carlson
  42. P3 12:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
  43. P3 11:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Logan Thompson
  44. P3 11:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  45. P3 11:21
    Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  46. P3 11:21
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  47. P3 11:21
    Penalty to Anthony Beauvillier 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Michael Amadio)
  48. P3 10:33
    SHOT
    Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  49. P3 10:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  50. P3 10:11
    SHOT
    Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Brady Tkachuk
  51. P3 09:29
    Tom Wilson credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
  52. P3 08:06
    SHOT
    Nick Jensen shot blocked by Connor McMichael
  53. P3 07:50
    SHOT
    Claude Giroux shot blocked by John Carlson
  54. P3 07:35
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  55. P3 07:35
    Stoppage - Icing
  56. P3 07:12
    Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Tyler Kleven in offensive zone
  57. P3 06:58
    Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Jordan Spence in defensive zone
  58. P3 06:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ridly Greig
  59. P3 06:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Senators saved by Logan Thompson
  60. P3 06:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Senators saved by Logan Thompson
  61. P3 06:09
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by teammate
  62. P3 05:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Logan Thompson
  63. P3 05:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Logan Thompson
  64. P3 05:42
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
  65. P3 05:38
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Stephen Halliday saved by Logan Thompson
  66. P3 05:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Thomas Chabot shot blocked by teammate
  67. P3 04:57
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  68. P3 04:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  69. P3 04:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Logan Thompson
  70. P3 03:39
    Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  71. P3 03:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  72. P3 03:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Logan Thompson
  73. P3 02:58
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
  74. P3 02:47
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
  75. P3 02:47
    GOAL
    Goal scored by David Perron assisted by Stephen Halliday and Nick Cousins
    2-3
  76. P3 02:16
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
  77. P3 02:16
    Stoppage - Offside
  78. P3 02:10
    SHOT
    Capitals shot blocked by teammate
  79. P3 01:33
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  80. P3 01:02
    Shane Pinto credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in defensive zone
  81. P3 00:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Leevi Merilainen
  82. P3 00:45
    SHOT
    Drake Batherson shot blocked by Matt Roy
  83. P3 00:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  84. P3 00:15
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  85. P3 00:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  86. P3 00:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Logan Thompson
  87. P3 00:00
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  88. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  89. P2 19:36
    Tom Wilson credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in neutral zone
  90. P2 19:31
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  91. P2 19:27
    SHOT
    Ridly Greig shot blocked by teammate
  92. P2 19:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  93. P2 19:07
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  94. P2 19:07
    Stoppage - Offside
  95. P2 19:02
    SHOT
    Dylan Strome shot blocked by Tim Stutzle
  96. P2 18:58
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  97. P2 18:58
    Stoppage - Icing
  98. P2 18:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Logan Thompson
  99. P2 17:29
    SHOT
    John Carlson shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  100. P2 17:07
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Matt Roy
  101. P2 17:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  102. P2 16:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Jensen saved by Logan Thompson
  103. P2 15:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Logan Thompson
  104. P2 15:41
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  105. P2 15:41
    Penalty to Trevor van Riemsdyk 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Nick Cousins)
  106. P2 15:41
    Penalty to Nick Cousins 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk)
  107. P2 15:41
    Stoppage - Offside
  108. P2 15:29
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Hendrix Lapierre
  109. P2 14:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Stephen Halliday saved by Logan Thompson
  110. P2 14:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Logan Thompson
  111. P2 14:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  112. P2 14:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  113. P2 14:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tyler Kleven
  114. P2 14:20
    Tyler Kleven credited with hit on Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  115. P2 13:29
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  116. P2 13:29
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  117. P2 13:27
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Tom Wilson
  118. P2 12:43
    Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Artem Zub in offensive zone
  119. P2 12:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  120. P2 12:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  121. P2 12:24
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  122. P2 12:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  123. P2 12:08
    SHOT
    John Carlson shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  124. P2 11:33
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
  125. P2 11:33
    Stoppage - Icing
  126. P2 11:26
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
  127. P2 11:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Leevi Merilainen
  128. P2 11:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  129. P2 11:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  130. P2 10:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
  131. P2 09:23
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  132. P2 09:23
    Penalty to David Perron 2 minutes for Misconduct
  133. P2 09:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Logan Thompson
  134. P2 08:30
    Power play - David Perron credited with hit on Tom Wilson in offensive zone
  135. P2 08:26
    Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  136. P2 08:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  137. P2 08:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Logan Thompson
  138. P2 08:21
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  139. P2 08:21
    Penalty to Connor McMichael 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by David Perron)
  140. P2 07:46
    Drake Batherson credited with hit on Matt Roy in neutral zone
  141. P2 07:42
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  142. P2 07:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Logan Thompson
  143. P2 07:07
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  144. P2 07:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  145. P2 07:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ethen Frank
  146. P2 06:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Logan Thompson
  147. P2 05:39
    SHOT
    Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Nick Jensen
  148. P2 05:36
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
  149. P2 05:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  150. P2 05:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Leevi Merilainen
  151. P2 05:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
  152. P2 04:26
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  153. P2 04:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Leevi Merilainen
  154. P2 04:21
    Power play - Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  155. P2 04:21
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  156. P2 04:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Leevi Merilainen
  157. P2 03:13
    Shorthanded - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  158. P2 03:13
    Penalty to Nick Cousins 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Ryan Leonard)
  159. P2 02:30
    SHOT
    Matt Roy shot blocked by Dylan Cozens
  160. P2 01:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Logan Thompson
  161. P2 01:47
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
  162. P2 01:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  163. P2 01:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Logan Thompson
  164. P2 01:39
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
  165. P2 01:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
  166. P2 01:15
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  167. P2 01:15
    Stoppage - Icing
  168. P2 00:39
    Nick Jensen credited with hit on Anthony Beauvillier in defensive zone
  169. P2 00:34
    Tyler Kleven credited with hit on Tom Wilson in defensive zone
  170. P2 00:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
  171. P2 00:00
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  172. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  173. P1 19:01
    Michael Amadio credited with hit on Matt Roy in neutral zone
  174. P1 18:59
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  175. P1 18:59
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Strome assisted by Ryan Leonard and Jakob Chychrun
    2-0
  176. P1 17:53
    Shorthanded - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  177. P1 17:53
    Penalty to Nick Jensen 2 minutes for Misconduct
  178. P1 17:30
    SHOT
    John Carlson shot blocked by Nick Cousins
  179. P1 17:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ethen Frank
  180. P1 17:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Capitals
  181. P1 16:54
    SHOT
    Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Nic Dowd
  182. P1 16:12
    Tim Stutzle credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in offensive zone
  183. P1 15:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Leevi Merilainen
  184. P1 15:26
    Michael Amadio credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in offensive zone
  185. P1 15:09
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  186. P1 15:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  187. P1 15:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Leevi Merilainen
  188. P1 14:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Logan Thompson
  189. P1 14:25
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  190. P1 14:25
    Penalty to Justin Sourdif 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Drake Batherson)
  191. P1 14:25
    Penalty to Drake Batherson 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Justin Sourdif)
  192. P1 13:53
    SHOT
    John Carlson shot blocked by Stephen Halliday
  193. P1 13:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Leevi Merilainen
  194. P1 13:33
    Brandon Duhaime won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in neutral zone
  195. P1 13:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Logan Thompson
  196. P1 12:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Roy
  197. P1 12:35
    SHOT
    Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  198. P1 12:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  199. P1 11:48
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  200. P1 11:48
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  201. P1 11:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Logan Thompson
  202. P1 11:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Leevi Merilainen
  203. P1 11:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Leevi Merilainen
  204. P1 10:48
    Shorthanded - Tyler Kleven credited with hit on Ethen Frank in defensive zone
  205. P1 10:19
    Power play - Justin Sourdif credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in offensive zone
  206. P1 09:16
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
  207. P1 09:16
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  208. P1 09:16
    Penalty to Dylan Strome 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Artem Zub)
  209. P1 09:16
    Penalty to Artem Zub 2 minutes for Boarding (Drawn by Aliaksei Protas)
  210. P1 08:13
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  211. P1 08:13
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Tom Wilson assisted by Justin Sourdif and Jakob Chychrun
    1-0
  212. P1 08:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Leevi Merilainen
  213. P1 08:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Leevi Merilainen
  214. P1 08:01
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  215. P1 08:01
    Stoppage - Icing
  216. P1 07:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Leevi Merilainen
  217. P1 07:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Leevi Merilainen
  218. P1 06:43
    Ridly Greig credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in neutral zone
  219. P1 06:18
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Connor McMichael
  220. P1 06:09
    Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in defensive zone
  221. P1 06:09
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  222. P1 06:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Nic Dowd
  223. P1 06:04
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  224. P1 06:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  225. P1 06:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  226. P1 05:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  227. P1 05:31
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Leevi Merilainen
  228. P1 05:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by teammate
  229. P1 04:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Logan Thompson
  230. P1 04:45
    Power play - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Tom Wilson in offensive zone
  231. P1 04:45
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  232. P1 04:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Dylan Cozens shot blocked by John Carlson
  233. P1 04:21
    Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  234. P1 04:21
    Penalty to Alex Ovechkin 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Michael Amadio)
  235. P1 04:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Leevi Merilainen
  236. P1 03:38
    Matt Roy credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
  237. P1 03:12
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  238. P1 03:12
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  239. P1 03:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Logan Thompson
  240. P1 02:42
    Tim Stutzle credited with hit on Brandon Duhaime in offensive zone
  241. P1 02:38
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by teammate
  242. P1 02:14
    SHOT
    Nick Jensen shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  243. P1 01:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Leevi Merilainen
  244. P1 01:49
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
  245. P1 01:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  246. P1 01:38
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
  247. P1 01:36
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  248. P1 01:36
    Stoppage - Icing
  249. P1 00:21
    Fabian Zetterlund credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in offensive zone
  250. P1 00:17
    Giveaway by Brady Tkachuk in offensive zone
  251. P1 00:07
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Tom Wilson in neutral zone
  252. P1 00:07
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
  253. P1 00:00
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  254. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Capitals
STATS
Senators
29Shots on Goal32
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
17Penalty Infraction Mins17
15Hits32
19 Shots Blocked 14
9Giveaways17
CapitalsWSH
SenatorsOTT
29Shots on Goal32
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
17Penalty Infraction Mins17
15Hits32
19 Shots Blocked 14
9Giveaways17

Capitals vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Capitals vs. Senators
  • Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Capitals +135, Senators -150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Capitals: 46%
  • Senators: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 46%, while the Senators have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Capitals vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.