Golden Knights vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Golden Knights vs. Penguins NHL game on March 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Golden Knights
0
5
PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
PPG Paints Arena
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
0 0 0 0
Penguins
1 3 1 5
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Golden Knights
    0%
  • Penguins
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
0 0 0 0
Penguins
1 3 1 5
P3 17:19 Shea Theodore shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P3 15:37 Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 15:15 Noel Acciari shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P3 14:59 Goal scored by Justin Brazeau assisted by Ben Kindel and Kris Letang
P3 13:58 Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Adin Hill
P3 11:55 Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 11:16 Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Adin Hill
P3 10:13 Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Adin Hill
P3 08:01 Shot missed by Shea Theodore
P3 07:53 Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 07:49 Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 06:56 Power play - Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Adin Hill
P3 05:41 Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 03:52 Shot on goal by Brandon Saad saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 03:47 Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
P3 03:17 Ben Kindel shot blocked by Keegan Kolesar
P3 02:09 Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
P3 01:10 Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 17:17 Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Barbashev
P2 17:01 Power play - Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Arturs Silovs
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:10
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Colton Sissons in defensive zone
  3. P3 18:26
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  4. P3 18:26
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  5. P3 18:18
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  6. P3 18:18
    Stoppage - Icing
  7. P3 18:06
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  8. P3 17:40
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Ivan Barbashev in defensive zone
  9. P3 17:31
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  10. P3 17:19
    SHOT
    Shea Theodore shot blocked by Connor Clifton
  11. P3 16:43
    Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
  12. P3 16:00
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Mitch Marner in offensive zone
  13. P3 15:40
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
  14. P3 15:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Arturs Silovs
  15. P3 15:15
    SHOT
    Noel Acciari shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
  16. P3 14:59
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Justin Brazeau assisted by Ben Kindel and Kris Letang
    0-5
  17. P3 13:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Adin Hill
  18. P3 12:40
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  19. P3 11:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Arturs Silovs
  20. P3 11:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Adin Hill
  21. P3 10:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Adin Hill
  22. P3 09:10
    Takeaway by Noah Hanifin in defensive zone
  23. P3 08:40
    Colton Sissons credited with hit on Ryan Shea in offensive zone
  24. P3 08:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shea Theodore
  25. P3 07:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Arturs Silovs
  26. P3 07:51
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  27. P3 07:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Arturs Silovs
  28. P3 06:59
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  29. P3 06:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Adin Hill
  30. P3 06:15
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone
  31. P3 05:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  32. P3 05:17
    Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  33. P3 04:25
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  34. P3 03:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Saad saved by Arturs Silovs
  35. P3 03:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
  36. P3 03:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  37. P3 03:17
    SHOT
    Ben Kindel shot blocked by Keegan Kolesar
  38. P3 02:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
  39. P3 01:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Arturs Silovs
  40. P3 00:41
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  41. P3 00:16
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
  42. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  43. P2 19:09
    Giveaway by Colton Sissons in neutral zone
  44. P2 19:02
    Colton Sissons credited with hit on Kris Letang in offensive zone
  45. P2 17:46
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  46. P2 17:19
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  47. P2 17:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Barbashev
  48. P2 17:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Arturs Silovs
  49. P2 16:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Tomas Hertl shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  50. P2 15:42
    Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  51. P2 15:31
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  52. P2 15:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  53. P2 15:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kaedan Korczak saved by Arturs Silovs
  54. P2 15:04
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Rickard Rakell assisted by Erik Karlsson and Bryan Rust
    0-4
  55. P2 15:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Adin Hill
  56. P2 14:10
    Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  57. P2 14:10
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  58. P2 14:10
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  59. P2 13:40
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Brandon Saad in defensive zone
  60. P2 13:40
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  61. P2 13:38
    SHOT
    Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Ben Kindel
  62. P2 13:35
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  63. P2 13:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Arturs Silovs
  64. P2 13:11
    Power play - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  65. P2 13:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  66. P2 12:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
  67. P2 11:32
    Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  68. P2 11:08
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  69. P2 11:08
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
  70. P2 10:53
    Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  71. P2 10:33
    SHOT
    Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
  72. P2 10:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Arturs Silovs
  73. P2 09:49
    Stoppage - Icing
  74. P2 09:34
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  75. P2 09:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
  76. P2 09:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  77. P2 09:02
    Power play - Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  78. P2 09:02
    Penalty to Cole Reinhardt 2 minutes for Misconduct
  79. P2 08:52
    Giveaway by Kris Letang in offensive zone
  80. P2 08:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Samuel Girard
  81. P2 08:22
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
  82. P2 08:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Arturs Silovs
  83. P2 07:29
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
  84. P2 07:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
  85. P2 07:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Adin Hill
  86. P2 06:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  87. P2 06:07
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  88. P2 06:07
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  89. P2 05:47
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Yegor Chinakhov assisted by Thomas Novak and Justin Brazeau
    0-2
  90. P2 04:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Adin Hill
  91. P2 04:21
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  92. P2 04:21
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  93. P2 03:41
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  94. P2 03:41
    Penalty to Mitch Marner 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Erik Karlsson)
  95. P2 02:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shea Theodore
  96. P2 02:39
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  97. P2 02:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Arturs Silovs
  98. P2 02:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
  99. P2 01:38
    Stoppage - Icing
  100. P2 01:25
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  101. P2 00:54
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  102. P2 00:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  103. P2 00:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Saad
  104. P2 00:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Saad saved by Arturs Silovs
  105. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  106. P1 19:30
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
  107. P1 19:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Adin Hill
  108. P1 18:52
    Ivan Barbashev won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  109. P1 16:01
    SHOT
    Ben Kindel shot blocked by Shea Theodore
  110. P1 15:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
  111. P1 15:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Arturs Silovs
  112. P1 14:56
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
  113. P1 14:22
    SHOT
    Colton Sissons shot blocked by Connor Clifton
  114. P1 13:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Adin Hill
  115. P1 11:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Adin Hill
  116. P1 10:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Reinhardt
  117. P1 09:55
    SHOT
    Avery Hayes shot blocked by Kaedan Korczak
  118. P1 08:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Adin Hill
  119. P1 08:49
    SHOT
    Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Jack Eichel
  120. P1 08:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Novak
  121. P1 07:57
    SHOT
    Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
  122. P1 07:43
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  123. P1 07:43
    Stoppage - Icing
  124. P1 07:01
    SHOT
    Ben Kindel shot blocked by teammate
  125. P1 06:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  126. P1 05:47
    Stoppage - Icing
  127. P1 05:02
    SHOT
    Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
  128. P1 03:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Arturs Silovs
  129. P1 02:27
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Colton Sissons in defensive zone
  130. P1 02:27
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  131. P1 02:10
    Stoppage - Icing
  132. P1 01:54
    SHOT
    Ivan Barbashev shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
  133. P1 01:49
    Ivan Barbashev credited with hit on Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  134. P1 01:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden McNabb
  135. P1 00:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jeremy Lauzon saved by Arturs Silovs
  136. P1 00:00
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
  137. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Golden Knights
STATS
Penguins
22Shots on Goal22
65% Faceoff Win % 35%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
13Penalty Infraction Mins9
28Hits19
14 Shots Blocked 18
16Giveaways23
Golden KnightsVGK
PenguinsPIT
22Shots on Goal22
65% Faceoff Win % 35%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
13Penalty Infraction Mins9
28Hits19
14 Shots Blocked 18
16Giveaways23

Golden Knights vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Golden Knights vs. Penguins
  • Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Golden Knights favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Golden Knights -148, Penguins +130

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Golden Knights: 54%
  • Penguins: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Golden Knights a win probability of 54%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Golden Knights are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Golden Knights vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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