Capitals vs. Flyers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Flyers NHL game on February 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Capitals
2
4
Xfinity Mobile Arena
Flyers
Xfinity Mobile Arena
TEAM123T
Capitals
0 1 1 2
Flyers
1 1 2 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Capitals
    0%
  • Flyers
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Capitals
0 1 1 2
Flyers
1 1 2 4
P3 19:43 Goal scored by Rasmus Ristolainen
P3 18:22 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Christian Dvorak
P3 18:10 Shot missed by John Carlson
P3 16:57 Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P3 16:28 Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 15:34 Bobby Brink shot blocked by John Carlson
P3 15:00 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 14:30 Power play - Shot missed by Travis Konecny
P3 13:48 Shot missed by Jamie Drysdale
P3 13:01 Shot missed by Noah Cates
P3 12:25 Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Clay Stevenson
P3 10:36 Shot missed by Rasmus Ristolainen
P3 07:48 Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Clay Stevenson
P3 07:41 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 07:12 Shot on goal by Sean Couturier saved by Clay Stevenson
P3 07:06 Shot missed by Matt Roy
P3 04:15 Owen Tippett shot blocked by Matt Roy
P3 03:57 Shot missed by Noah Juulsen
P3 02:38 Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Dan Vladar
P3 00:36 Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Bobby Brink
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  3. P3 19:43
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  4. P3 19:43
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Rasmus Ristolainen
    2-4
  5. P3 18:36
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  6. P3 18:36
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  7. P3 18:22
    SHOT
    Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Christian Dvorak
  8. P3 18:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Carlson
  9. P3 18:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  10. P3 16:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
  11. P3 16:56
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  12. P3 16:50
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  13. P3 16:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
  14. P3 16:27
    Stoppage - Icing
  15. P3 16:19
    Stoppage - Icing
  16. P3 15:34
    SHOT
    Bobby Brink shot blocked by John Carlson
  17. P3 15:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  18. P3 14:37
    Capitals won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  19. P3 14:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Travis Konecny
  20. P3 14:13
    Power play - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  21. P3 14:13
    Penalty to Justin Sourdif 2 minutes for Misconduct
  22. P3 13:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Drysdale
  23. P3 13:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Cates
  24. P3 12:27
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Noah Cates in defensive zone
  25. P3 12:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Clay Stevenson
  26. P3 11:30
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  27. P3 11:30
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  28. P3 10:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Ristolainen
  29. P3 10:00
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Sean Couturier in defensive zone
  30. P3 09:45
    Takeaway by Alex Ovechkin in offensive zone
  31. P3 09:30
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in neutral zone
  32. P3 07:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Clay Stevenson
  33. P3 07:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  34. P3 07:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sean Couturier saved by Clay Stevenson
  35. P3 07:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Roy
  36. P3 06:47
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  37. P3 06:34
    Capitals won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  38. P3 06:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  39. P3 04:15
    SHOT
    Owen Tippett shot blocked by Matt Roy
  40. P3 04:11
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
  41. P3 04:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  42. P3 03:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Juulsen
  43. P3 02:40
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
  44. P3 02:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Dan Vladar
  45. P3 01:36
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
  46. P3 00:36
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Bobby Brink
  47. P3 00:00
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  48. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  49. P2 19:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bobby Brink
  50. P2 17:51
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in offensive zone
  51. P2 17:51
    Stoppage - Icing
  52. P2 17:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  53. P2 17:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Dan Vladar
  54. P2 16:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Travis Konecny saved by Clay Stevenson
  55. P2 16:42
    Capitals won faceoff against Matvei Michkov in defensive zone
  56. P2 16:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  57. P2 16:27
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  58. P2 15:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Drysdale
  59. P2 15:01
    SHOT
    Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Christian Dvorak
  60. P2 14:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
  61. P2 14:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Dan Vladar
  62. P2 14:02
    Brandon Duhaime credited with hit on Travis Konecny in offensive zone
  63. P2 13:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  64. P2 13:15
    Giveaway by Carl Grundstrom in offensive zone
  65. P2 13:02
    SHOT
    John Carlson shot blocked by Sean Couturier
  66. P2 13:00
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  67. P2 12:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Dan Vladar
  68. P2 12:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Roy
  69. P2 12:27
    Stoppage - Icing
  70. P2 11:05
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Owen Tippett in defensive zone
  71. P2 11:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  72. P2 10:52
    Giveaway by Noah Cates in neutral zone
  73. P2 10:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  74. P2 10:13
    Stoppage - Icing
  75. P2 09:53
    Giveaway by Aliaksei Protas in neutral zone
  76. P2 09:46
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Sean Couturier in defensive zone
  77. P2 09:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  78. P2 08:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Travis Konecny shot blocked by Nic Dowd
  79. P2 08:12
    Power play - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  80. P2 08:10
    GOAL
    Shorthanded - Goal scored by Aliaksei Protas assisted by Anthony Beauvillier
    1-2
  81. P2 07:48
    Shorthanded - Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Owen Tippett in defensive zone
  82. P2 07:20
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Dan Vladar
  83. P2 07:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Trevor Zegras
  84. P2 06:59
    Power play - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  85. P2 06:59
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  86. P2 06:59
    Penalty to Jakob Chychrun 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Owen Tippett)
  87. P2 05:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Cates saved by Clay Stevenson
  88. P2 05:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
  89. P2 04:45
    Capitals won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
  90. P2 04:31
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Sean Couturier in defensive zone
  91. P2 04:15
    Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Jamie Drysdale in neutral zone
  92. P2 03:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Clay Stevenson
  93. P2 02:02
    Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Noah Cates in defensive zone
  94. P2 00:53
    Giveaway by Ethen Frank in neutral zone
  95. P2 00:34
    SHOT
    Ethen Frank shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
  96. P2 00:10
    Capitals won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  97. P2 00:00
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Noah Cates in neutral zone
  98. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  99. P1 19:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Dan Vladar
  100. P1 19:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Clay Stevenson
  101. P1 17:39
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  102. P1 17:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Dan Vladar
  103. P1 16:54
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  104. P1 16:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Dan Vladar
  105. P1 16:14
    SHOT
    Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
  106. P1 15:11
    Giveaway by Nikita Grebenkin in offensive zone
  107. P1 14:45
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
  108. P1 14:36
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
  109. P1 14:36
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  110. P1 14:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Carl Grundstrom saved by Clay Stevenson
  111. P1 13:49
    Capitals won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  112. P1 13:49
    SHOT
    John Carlson shot blocked by Nicolas Deslauriers
  113. P1 13:38
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  114. P1 13:07
    SHOT
    Justin Sourdif shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
  115. P1 12:21
    Trevor Zegras won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  116. P1 12:16
    Trevor Zegras won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  117. P1 12:16
    Stoppage - Icing
  118. P1 11:49
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  119. P1 11:47
    SHOT
    Nikita Grebenkin shot blocked by John Carlson
  120. P1 11:34
    SHOT
    Dylan Strome shot blocked by Travis Sanheim
  121. P1 11:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Dan Vladar
  122. P1 10:56
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  123. P1 10:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  124. P1 10:50
    SHOT
    Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Nick Seeler
  125. P1 08:39
    SHOT
    Sean Couturier shot blocked by Nic Dowd
  126. P1 07:55
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  127. P1 07:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Clay Stevenson
  128. P1 06:53
    Nikita Grebenkin credited with hit on Matt Roy in offensive zone
  129. P1 06:42
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  130. P1 06:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
  131. P1 05:56
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in neutral zone
  132. P1 04:45
    Shorthanded - Sean Couturier won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  133. P1 04:45
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  134. P1 04:14
    Power play - Giveaway by Sonny Milano in offensive zone
  135. P1 04:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  136. P1 04:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Tom Wilson shot blocked by Nick Seeler
  137. P1 03:23
    Capitals won faceoff against Flyers in neutral zone
  138. P1 03:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tom Wilson
  139. P1 03:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Cam York
  140. P1 02:55
    Penalty to Nicolas Deslauriers 2 minutes for Misconduct
  141. P1 01:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Trevor Zegras
  142. P1 01:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Grebenkin saved by Clay Stevenson
  143. P1 00:18
    Giveaway by Bobby Brink in offensive zone
  144. P1 00:00
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
Stats
Capitals
STATS
Flyers
28Shots on Goal22
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
16Penalty Infraction Mins2
27Hits21
12 Shots Blocked 25
9Giveaways21
CapitalsWSH
FlyersPHI
28Shots on Goal22
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
16Penalty Infraction Mins2
27Hits21
12 Shots Blocked 25
9Giveaways21

Capitals vs. Flyers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Capitals vs. Flyers
  • Date: Tuesday, February 3, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Flyers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Capitals +126, Flyers -142

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Capitals: 48%
  • Flyers: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 48%, while the Flyers have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Flyers are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Capitals vs. Flyers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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