Avalanche vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Avalanche vs. Senators NHL game on January 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Hoops season sale: $30 off Dimers Pro passes. Limited time only.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Avalanche
2
5
Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Canadian Tire Centre
TEAM123T
Avalanche
0 1 1 2
Senators
0 2 3 5
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Avalanche
    0%
  • Senators
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Avalanche
0 1 1 2
Senators
0 2 3 5
P3 19:22 Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 19:21 Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Gavin Brindley
P3 19:19 Xavier Bourgault shot blocked by Joel Kiviranta
P3 18:20 Parker Kelly shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 16:57 Shot missed by Michael Amadio
P3 16:49 Shot missed by Victor Olofsson
P3 15:49 Victor Olofsson shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:14 Shot missed by Avalanche
P3 14:15 Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
P3 12:27 Senators shot blocked by teammate
P3 12:27 Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 11:40 Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 11:32 Shot missed by Josh Manson
P3 11:27 Shot missed by Victor Olofsson
P3 10:25 Shot on goal by Gavin Brindley saved by James Reimer
P3 06:45 Artturi Lehkonen shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P3 06:38 Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P3 03:30 Goal scored by Valeri Nichushkin assisted by Jack Drury
P3 02:41 Cale Makar shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P3 02:13 Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by James Reimer
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  3. P3 19:21
    SHOT
    Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Gavin Brindley
  4. P3 19:19
    SHOT
    Xavier Bourgault shot blocked by Joel Kiviranta
  5. P3 18:20
    SHOT
    Parker Kelly shot blocked by Artem Zub
  6. P3 17:49
    Giveaway by Parker Kelly in neutral zone
  7. P3 17:44
    Avalanche won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  8. P3 17:28
    Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
  9. P3 17:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  10. P3 16:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Amadio
  11. P3 16:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Victor Olofsson
  12. P3 16:12
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  13. P3 15:49
    SHOT
    Victor Olofsson shot blocked by teammate
  14. P3 15:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Avalanche
  15. P3 15:08
    Giveaway by Michael Amadio in offensive zone
  16. P3 14:15
    SHOT
    Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
  17. P3 12:52
    Jake Sanderson credited with hit on Parker Kelly in defensive zone
  18. P3 12:27
    SHOT
    Senators shot blocked by teammate
  19. P3 12:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  20. P3 11:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  21. P3 11:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Manson
  22. P3 11:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Victor Olofsson
  23. P3 11:18
    Avalanche won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  24. P3 11:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  25. P3 10:36
    Tyler Kleven credited with hit on Gavin Brindley in defensive zone
  26. P3 10:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gavin Brindley saved by James Reimer
  27. P3 10:04
    Josh Manson credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in defensive zone
  28. P3 09:26
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  29. P3 09:26
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  30. P3 09:02
    Giveaway by Jake Sanderson in defensive zone
  31. P3 08:48
    Giveaway by Martin Necas in neutral zone
  32. P3 07:23
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  33. P3 06:45
    SHOT
    Artturi Lehkonen shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  34. P3 06:38
    SHOT
    Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  35. P3 05:23
    Nick Cousins won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  36. P3 05:23
    Stoppage - Offside
  37. P3 04:23
    Stoppage - Offside
  38. P3 03:44
    Nick Jensen credited with hit on Artturi Lehkonen in defensive zone
  39. P3 03:30
    Avalanche won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  40. P3 03:30
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Valeri Nichushkin assisted by Jack Drury
    2-3
  41. P3 03:10
    Avalanche won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  42. P3 03:10
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  43. P3 02:44
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  44. P3 02:41
    SHOT
    Cale Makar shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  45. P3 02:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  46. P3 02:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by James Reimer
  47. P3 01:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Manson
  48. P3 01:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Manson
  49. P3 01:43
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  50. P3 01:35
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  51. P3 00:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Victor Olofsson
  52. P3 00:22
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  53. P3 00:22
    Stoppage - Offside
  54. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  55. P2 19:58
    SHOT
    Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Brock Nelson
  56. P2 19:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  57. P2 19:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  58. P2 18:59
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  59. P2 18:59
    Stoppage - Offside
  60. P2 18:38
    SHOT
    Drake Batherson shot blocked by teammate
  61. P2 18:14
    Giveaway by Michael Amadio in offensive zone
  62. P2 17:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cale Makar
  63. P2 17:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cale Makar
  64. P2 17:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gavin Brindley saved by James Reimer
  65. P2 17:01
    Jack Drury credited with hit on Fabian Zetterlund in neutral zone
  66. P2 16:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ridly Greig
  67. P2 16:47
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
  68. P2 16:47
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  69. P2 16:37
    SHOT
    Samuel Girard shot blocked by Michael Amadio
  70. P2 16:26
    SHOT
    Gavin Brindley shot blocked by Nick Cousins
  71. P2 14:29
    Artem Zub credited with hit on Victor Olofsson in neutral zone
  72. P2 14:22
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  73. P2 14:22
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ridly Greig
    1-2
  74. P2 14:05
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  75. P2 14:04
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Parker Kelly
    1-1
  76. P2 13:25
    Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Sam Malinski in offensive zone
  77. P2 13:14
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  78. P2 13:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  79. P2 13:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by James Reimer
  80. P2 12:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Cousins
  81. P2 12:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  82. P2 11:54
    Power play - Fabian Zetterlund credited with hit on Jack Drury in offensive zone
  83. P2 11:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Cale Makar
  84. P2 11:19
    Shorthanded - Samuel Girard credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  85. P2 11:02
    Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  86. P2 11:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  87. P2 10:53
    Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  88. P2 10:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  89. P2 10:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  90. P2 10:06
    Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  91. P2 10:06
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  92. P2 10:06
    Penalty to Artturi Lehkonen 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Thomas Chabot)
  93. P2 09:36
    SHOT
    Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Cale Makar
  94. P2 09:29
    Takeaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
  95. P2 08:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Parker Kelly
  96. P2 07:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Malinski
  97. P2 07:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  98. P2 07:31
    Keaton Middleton credited with hit on Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  99. P2 07:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  100. P2 06:51
    Giveaway by Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  101. P2 06:36
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  102. P2 06:30
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  103. P2 06:30
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  104. P2 06:05
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  105. P2 06:05
    Stoppage - Icing
  106. P2 05:39
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
  107. P2 04:57
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  108. P2 04:57
    Stoppage - Offside
  109. P2 03:57
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Artturi Lehkonen in offensive zone
  110. P2 03:57
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  111. P2 03:54
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Parker Kelly
  112. P2 03:21
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Parker Kelly in neutral zone
  113. P2 03:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  114. P2 02:57
    SHOT
    Jack Drury shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  115. P2 02:52
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jack Drury in defensive zone
  116. P2 02:52
    Stoppage - Icing
  117. P2 01:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  118. P2 01:38
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by teammate
  119. P2 01:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by James Reimer
  120. P2 00:23
    Takeaway by Brady Tkachuk in offensive zone
  121. P2 00:17
    Josh Manson credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  122. P2 00:07
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  123. P2 00:07
    Stoppage - Icing
  124. P2 00:00
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  125. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  126. P1 19:32
    Keaton Middleton credited with hit on Nick Cousins in defensive zone
  127. P1 18:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  128. P1 18:23
    Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  129. P1 18:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  130. P1 18:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  131. P1 18:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
  132. P1 17:54
    Shorthanded - Josh Manson credited with hit on Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  133. P1 17:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Valeri Nichushkin
  134. P1 17:13
    Penalty to Taylor Makar 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Drake Batherson)
  135. P1 16:40
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Taylor Makar in defensive zone
  136. P1 16:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by James Reimer
  137. P1 16:14
    Giveaway by Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
  138. P1 16:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  139. P1 15:46
    Avalanche won faceoff against Senators in offensive zone
  140. P1 15:37
    SHOT
    Parker Kelly shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  141. P1 14:41
    Giveaway by Brent Burns in neutral zone
  142. P1 13:25
    Parker Kelly credited with hit on Tyler Kleven in neutral zone
  143. P1 13:05
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
  144. P1 13:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  145. P1 13:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  146. P1 12:34
    Avalanche won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  147. P1 11:12
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  148. P1 11:12
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  149. P1 10:12
    Giveaway by Zakhar Bardakov in neutral zone
  150. P1 09:32
    Giveaway by Drake Batherson in offensive zone
  151. P1 07:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by James Reimer
  152. P1 06:38
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
  153. P1 05:43
    Taylor Makar credited with hit on Tyler Kleven in offensive zone
  154. P1 05:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  155. P1 05:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  156. P1 04:32
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  157. P1 04:32
    Stoppage - Offside
  158. P1 04:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  159. P1 03:13
    Power play - Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in offensive zone
  160. P1 03:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Joel Kiviranta
  161. P1 02:38
    Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  162. P1 02:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  163. P1 01:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  164. P1 01:49
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Brent Burns in defensive zone
  165. P1 01:20
    Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  166. P1 01:20
    Penalty to Sam Malinski 2 minutes for Delay of Game
  167. P1 00:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
  168. P1 00:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  169. P1 00:00
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
Stats
Avalanche
STATS
Senators
18Shots on Goal23
62% Faceoff Win % 38%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins0
22Hits31
10 Shots Blocked 12
16Giveaways13
AvalancheCOL
SenatorsOTT
18Shots on Goal23
62% Faceoff Win % 38%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins0
22Hits31
10 Shots Blocked 12
16Giveaways13

Avalanche vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Avalanche vs. Senators
  • Date: Wednesday, January 28, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): Not Available
  • Moneyline Odds: Avalanche -152, Senators +130

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Avalanche: 58%
  • Senators: 42%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Avalanche a win probability of 58%, while the Senators have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Avalanche vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.