Flyers vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flyers vs. Sabres NHL game on January 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Flyers
2
5
KeyBank Center
Sabres
KeyBank Center
TEAM123T
Flyers
0 1 1 2
Sabres
2 2 1 5
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Flyers
    0%
  • Sabres
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Flyers
0 1 1 2
Sabres
2 2 1 5
P3 19:08 Power play - Matvei Michkov shot blocked by teammate
P3 19:04 Power play - Shot missed by Travis Konecny
P3 18:48 Power play - Shot missed by Travis Konecny
P3 17:39 Trevor Zegras shot blocked by Josh Doan
P3 17:12 Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 15:17 Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 11:43 Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 11:43 Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
P3 10:02 Shot missed by Noah Juulsen
P3 09:01 Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Emil Andrae
P3 08:43 Bowen Byram shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
P3 07:37 Power play - Goal scored by Trevor Zegras assisted by Travis Konecny and Owen Tippett
P3 03:46 Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 03:00 Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 02:53 Shot missed by Owen Tippett
P3 01:11 Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 01:11 Shot missed by Jamie Drysdale
P2 19:52 Power play - Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
P2 19:01 Shot missed by Owen Tippett
P2 17:34 Shot on goal by Travis Sanheim saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Matvei Michkov shot blocked by teammate
  3. P3 19:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Travis Konecny
  4. P3 18:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Travis Konecny
  5. P3 17:45
    Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  6. P3 17:45
    Penalty to Bowen Byram 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Matvei Michkov)
  7. P3 17:39
    SHOT
    Trevor Zegras shot blocked by Josh Doan
  8. P3 17:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  9. P3 16:55
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  10. P3 16:55
    Stoppage - Icing
  11. P3 16:44
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  12. P3 15:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Samuel Ersson
  13. P3 13:58
    Shorthanded - Noah Cates won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
  14. P3 13:58
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  15. P3 13:22
    Shorthanded - Sean Couturier won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
  16. P3 12:47
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  17. P3 12:47
    Stoppage
  18. P3 11:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  19. P3 11:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
  20. P3 11:41
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  21. P3 11:41
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  22. P3 11:14
    Stoppage - Icing
  23. P3 10:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Juulsen
  24. P3 09:03
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  25. P3 09:01
    SHOT
    Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Emil Andrae
  26. P3 08:43
    SHOT
    Bowen Byram shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
  27. P3 07:37
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
  28. P3 07:37
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Trevor Zegras assisted by Travis Konecny and Owen Tippett
    2-4
  29. P3 06:47
    Power play - Trevor Zegras won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  30. P3 06:47
    Penalty to Zach Metsa 2 minutes for Hooking
  31. P3 06:28
    Alex Tuch won faceoff against Rodrigo Abols in neutral zone
  32. P3 04:46
    Giveaway by Mattias Samuelsson in neutral zone
  33. P3 04:18
    Trevor Zegras won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  34. P3 03:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Samuel Ersson
  35. P3 03:35
    Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  36. P3 03:14
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  37. P3 03:14
    Stoppage - Icing
  38. P3 03:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  39. P3 02:59
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  40. P3 02:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Tippett
  41. P3 01:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  42. P3 01:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Drysdale
  43. P3 00:00
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
  44. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  45. P2 19:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
  46. P2 19:14
    Penalty to Zach Benson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  47. P2 19:14
    Flyers won faceoff against Sabres in offensive zone
  48. P2 19:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Tippett
  49. P2 18:05
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  50. P2 18:05
    Stoppage - Net Dislodged by Goaltender
  51. P2 17:40
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  52. P2 17:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Travis Sanheim saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  53. P2 16:54
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  54. P2 16:54
    Stoppage - Offside
  55. P2 16:46
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
  56. P2 16:46
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  57. P2 15:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Seeler
  58. P2 15:25
    Flyers won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  59. P2 15:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  60. P2 15:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Grebenkin
  61. P2 13:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Josh Norris shot blocked by Cam York
  62. P2 12:44
    Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  63. P2 12:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bowen Byram
  64. P2 11:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
  65. P2 11:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicolas Deslauriers saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  66. P2 11:17
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Rodrigo Abols in neutral zone
  67. P2 10:28
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  68. P2 09:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Samuel Ersson
  69. P2 09:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Zucker
  70. P2 09:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
  71. P2 08:03
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  72. P2 08:03
    Stoppage - Icing
  73. P2 07:48
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  74. P2 07:17
    SHOT
    Noah Juulsen shot blocked by Peyton Krebs
  75. P2 07:14
    Rodrigo Abols won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  76. P2 06:33
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  77. P2 06:33
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  78. P2 04:50
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
  79. P2 04:22
    Flyers won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  80. P2 03:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  81. P2 03:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Samuel Ersson
  82. P2 03:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
  83. P2 02:05
    Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  84. P2 02:05
    Penalty to Trevor Zegras 2 minutes for Misconduct
  85. P2 01:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  86. P2 00:59
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
  87. P2 00:59
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  88. P2 00:00
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Noah Cates in neutral zone
  89. P2 00:00
    Flyers replaced goalie. (Samuel Ersson)
  90. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  91. P1 19:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Travis Konecny
  92. P1 18:19
    Nikita Grebenkin won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  93. P1 18:19
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  94. P1 18:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  95. P1 17:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicolas Deslauriers saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  96. P1 16:29
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  97. P1 16:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Dan Vladar
  98. P1 16:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Benson
  99. P1 15:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jacob Bryson
  100. P1 15:13
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  101. P1 13:47
    Giveaway by Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  102. P1 13:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  103. P1 13:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bowen Byram
  104. P1 13:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  105. P1 12:43
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  106. P1 11:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  107. P1 11:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  108. P1 09:49
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  109. P1 09:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Dan Vladar
  110. P1 09:16
    Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  111. P1 09:16
    Penalty to Cam York 2 minutes for Misconduct
  112. P1 09:00
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Noah Cates in offensive zone
  113. P1 09:00
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  114. P1 07:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  115. P1 07:16
    Rodrigo Abols won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  116. P1 07:16
    Stoppage - Icing
  117. P1 06:08
    Flyers won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  118. P1 06:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Grebenkin saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  119. P1 05:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
  120. P1 05:37
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  121. P1 05:09
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  122. P1 05:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  123. P1 03:22
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen in defensive zone
  124. P1 02:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cam York
  125. P1 01:52
    Power play - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  126. P1 01:52
    Penalty to Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Christian Dvorak) (Served by Jason Zucker)
  127. P1 00:21
    Owen Tippett credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in defensive zone
  128. P1 00:20
    SHOT
    Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Travis Sanheim
  129. P1 00:07
    Stoppage - Icing
  130. P1 00:00
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Stats
Flyers
STATS
Sabres
22Shots on Goal14
53% Faceoff Win % 48%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/2
12Penalty Infraction Mins10
26Hits27
8 Shots Blocked 9
5Giveaways18
FlyersPHI
SabresBUF
22Shots on Goal14
53% Faceoff Win % 48%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/2
12Penalty Infraction Mins10
26Hits27
8 Shots Blocked 9
5Giveaways18

Flyers vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Flyers vs. Sabres
  • Date: Wednesday, January 14, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Flyers +122, Sabres -138

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Flyers: 44%
  • Sabres: 56%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flyers a win probability of 44%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Flyers in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Flyers vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.