Chargers vs. Bills Preview and Prediction

Our Chargers vs. Bills preview, analysis and predictions for September 27, 2026, are based on 10,000 NFL game simulations. See Dimers Pro for unlimited access.
NFL
Add this game to My Favorites
Add this game to My Favorites
NFL sport icon
NFL
Chargers
Predicted score
23
:
25
Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET New Highmark Stadium
Bills
Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET New Highmark Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update: May 18, 2026, 10:33 PM ET

Spread

Chargers +3.0
Spread
  • Chargers
    51.8%
    DraftKingsDraftKings
  • Bills
    48.2%
    DraftKingsDraftKings

Featured offers

Swipe iconSwipe across to view more offers
logo
RECOMMENDED
Deposit $10, Get a $20 Trading Bonus!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
FEATURED
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
TRENDING
Bet $10 Get $150 in Bonus Bets
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW
Trade $10, Get $20 with Code DIMERS
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
HOTTEST
$1,000 First Bet Reset Paid in Bonus Bets!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get $350 in Bonus Bets Guaranteed - When You Bet $5 for 7 Days!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
LIMITED-TIME
Register with code DIMERS150 to unlock $150 in bonus bets by winning your first $10 bet
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Code DIMERS: Trade $10, Get $10
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get Up To $250 Back in Bonus Bets If Your First Bet Loses
T&Cs apply.
How to claim

Chargers vs. Bills: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Bills favored at -3
  • Total (Over/Under): 50
  • Moneyline Odds: Chargers +140, Bills -162

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Chargers: 41%
  • Bills: 59%

Dimers' predictive NFL model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Chargers 23-25 Bills.

This prediction is based on each team's average score and player stats following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Chargers a win probability of 41%, while the Bills have a win probability of 59%.

Summary

The Chargers face off against the Bills in the NFL at New Highmark Stadium on Sunday, September 27, 2026. On this page, you'll find our preview, analysis and data-driven projections for the game.

Our Chargers vs. Bills predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL picks, NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.