49ers vs. Chiefs: NFL Week 16 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' 49ers vs. Chiefs prediction for Sunday, December 27, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our NFL machine learning models.
NFL
NFL sport icon
NFL
49ers
Predicted score
22
:
25
Arrowhead Stadium
Chiefs
Arrowhead Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

49ers +3.0
Spread
  • 49ers
    54.7%
    CaesarsCaesars
  • Chiefs
    45.3%
    CaesarsCaesars

49ers vs. Chiefs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NFL Week 16

  • Teams: San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
  • Date: Sunday, December 27, 2026
  • Time: 4:25PM ET
  • Venue: Arrowhead Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: 49ers (+3, -115), Chiefs (-3, -115)
  • Moneyline: 49ers +135, Chiefs -170
  • Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points (-115/-115)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • 49ers: 40.8%
  • Chiefs: 59.2%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each NFL matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is 49ers 22-24 Chiefs.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the 49ers a win probability of 40.8%, while the Chiefs have a win probability of 59.2%.

Summary

The 49ers face off against the Chiefs in the NFL at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, December 27, 2026.

Our 49ers vs. Chiefs predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.