Storm vs. Fire prediction: Why Seattle is favored to win Saturday's WNBA matchup [8/8/2026]
Get Seattle Storm vs Portland Fire predictions for WNBA Saturday.
The Portland Fire will square off with the Seattle Storm, in what is expected to be a close WNBA game, at Moda Center on Saturday, starting at 8:30 PM ET.
Dimers' proven WNBA model gives the Storm a slight edge with a 54.4% win probability over the Fire.
The Fire, who have stars such as Bridget Carleton, Carla Leite and Megan Gustafson, are set to take on the Storm, featuring Dominique Malonga, Natisha Hiedeman and Flau'jae Johnson.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's Storm vs. Fire matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Storm vs. Fire prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Storm a 54.4% chance of beating the Fire.
According to our model, the Storm (+1.5) have a 54.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 180.5 points has a 53.9% chance of staying under,.
Storm vs. Fire odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Fire -1.5 @ +122 via Polymarket
- Moneyline: Storm @ -108 via Novig
- Total: Under 180.5 @ +104 via Polymarket
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Storm vs. Fire picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Fire -1.5 @ +122 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Storm @ -108 via Novig
- Total: Under 180.5 @ +104 via Polymarket According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 180.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Storm vs. Fire player props
WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on Saturday's Storm vs. Fire game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.
Dominique Malonga is expected to lead the Storm with 17 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists, while Bridget Carleton is projected to have 17 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists for the Fire.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Dominique Malonga striking first with a 15.6% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Storm prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Malonga | 17 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 37 |
| N. Hiedeman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 33 |
| F. Johnson | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 29 |
| Awa Fam | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| Jade Melbourne | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 22 |
Fire prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Carleton | 17 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 35 |
| Carla Leite | 15 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 36 |
| Megan Gustafson | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 25 |
| Emily Engstler | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| Frieda Buhner | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
Storm vs. Fire game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Fire and Storm at Moda Center is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Storm vs. Portland Fire
- Date: Saturday, August 8, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Moda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Storm, with a 54.4% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Saturday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
