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Seattle Sounders vs. Minnesota United prediction, odds, MLS Cup first round picks [11/3/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United predictions for MLS Cup Monday.
Seattle will face Minnesota in the MLS Cup first round on Monday, commencing at 10:45PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts Seattle as the most likely winner of the Seattle vs. Minnesota game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Seattle Sounders vs. Minnesota United prediction: Who will win MLS Cup first round matchup?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLS game between Seattle and Minnesota 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 57.8% chance of Seattle winning, a 20.6% chance for Minnesota, and a 21.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 59% chance of going over, according to our model.
Seattle Sounders vs. Minnesota United - MLS Cup first round odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Seattle | Minnesota | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -190 | +500 | +333 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -164 | +134 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Seattle Sounders vs. Minnesota United picks and best bet for MLS Cup first round
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Minnesota | +500 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +134 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Minnesota to win.
Seattle Sounders vs. Minnesota United: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SEA 1-1 MIN | 10% |
| SEA 2-1 MIN | 9.9% |
| SEA 1-0 MIN | 9.1% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Seattle Sounders vs. Minnesota United MLS Cup first round updates and essential details
Monday's game between Seattle and Minnesota is scheduled to commence at 10:45PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Sounders vs. Minnesota United
- Date: Monday, November 3, 2025
- Time: 10:45PM ET/7:45PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Seattle has a 57.8% win probability on Monday, Minnesota has a 20.6% win probability, and there is a 21.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Seattle vs. Minnesota insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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