Spurs vs. Trail Blazers prediction: Why San Antonio is favored to win Game 4 [2026 NBA Playoffs]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers predictions for NBA Playoffs Sunday.

San Antonio Spurs-Portland Trail Blazers Predictions and Game Preview.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Portland Trail Blazers NBA prediction for Game 4 of the series.

NBA Playoffs action continues on Sunday at 3:30 PM ET as the favored San Antonio Spurs lock horns with the Portland Trail Blazers in Game 4 of their 2026 NBA Playoffs series at Moda Center.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Game 4 matchup.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Trail Blazers lineup will feature players like Deni Avdija, Jrue Holiday and Scoot Henderson, while the Spurs will be led by Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle and De'Aaron Fox.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Spurs vs. Blazers prediction: Who will win Game 4?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Spurs and Trail Blazers, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Spurs a 70% chance of beating the Trail Blazers in Game 4 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 111-105.

According to our model, the Spurs (-5.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 217.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.

 

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Game 4 odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Spurs Trail Blazers
Spread -5.5 (-105) +5.5 (-106)
Moneyline -220 +188
Total o217.5 (-105) u217.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers picks and best bet for Game 4

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Spurs -5.5 -105
Moneyline Spurs -220
Total Over 217.5 -105

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Spurs to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Game 4 player props

Betting on San Antonio vs. Portland NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.

Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 26 points, 11 rebounds and 3 assists, while Deni Avdija is projected to have 26 points, 7 rebounds and 7 assists for the Trail Blazers.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Spurs prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
V. Wembanyama 26 11 3 2 55
Stephon Castle 18 6 8 1 42
De'Aaron Fox 18 4 6 2 38
Devin Vassell 14 4 3 2 28
Dylan Harper 11 3 3 1 25

Trail Blazers prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Trail Blazers:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Deni Avdija 26 7 7 2 52
Jrue Holiday 18 5 7 3 40
Scoot Henderson 17 3 4 2 31
Jerami Grant 11 2 1 1 19
Toumani Camara 11 4 2 2 25

Spurs vs. Blazers Game 4 updates and essential details

Sunday's Game 4 between the Trail Blazers and Spurs in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 3:30 PM ET.

The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to determine the league's champion.

A total of 16 teams, including the Spurs and Trail Blazers, made the 2026 NBA Playoffs, which spans four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.

Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.

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Make the most of Dimers' Spurs vs. Trail Blazers predictions by exploring the below offer from Novig.


Conclusion

We predict the Spurs, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Trail Blazers in Sunday's NBA playoffs matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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