Kings vs. Lakers prediction: Lakers to win, Luka Doncic projected for 33 points in Sunday's NBA game [12/28/2025]

The Los Angeles Lakers will take on the Sacramento Kings in NBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Sunday, commencing at 9:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Lakers as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Lakers game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Lakers lineup will feature players like Luka Doncic, LeBron James and Deandre Ayton, while the Kings will be led by DeMar DeRozan, Russell Westbrook and Maxime Raynaud.

Doncic is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 33 points and 4 threes.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Kings vs. Lakers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Kings and Lakers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Lakers an 83% chance of defeating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Lakers winning 120-109.

According to our model, the Kings (+12.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 231.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Kings vs. Lakers odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kings vs. Lakers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Kings +12.5 at the spread.

Kings vs. Lakers player props

NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Sacramento vs. LA Lakers game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

DeMar DeRozan is expected to lead the Kings with 20 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while Luka Doncic is projected to have 33 points, 8 rebounds and 9 assists for the Lakers.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Kings prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Kings are:

Lakers prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lakers:

Kings vs. Lakers game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Lakers and Kings at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:30 PM ET.

• Who: Sacramento Kings vs. Los Angeles Lakers
• Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Lakers, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Sunday, with Luka Doncic projected for a game-high 63 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Lakers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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