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Kings vs. Warriors prediction: Golden State to win, Stephen Curry projected for 26 points in Tuesday's NBA game [4/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors predictions for NBA Tuesday.
The Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings will lock horns in NBA action at Chase Center on Tuesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Warriors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature players like Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski and De'Anthony Melton, while the Kings will rely on Devin Carter, Maxime Raynaud and Daeqwon Plowden.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Kings vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NBA game between the Kings and Warriors, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Warriors an 86% chance of defeating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 122-109.
According to our model, the Kings (+14.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 231.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Kings vs. Warriors odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kings | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +14.5 (-105) | -14.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +725 | -950 |
| Total | o231.5 (-115) | u231.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kings vs. Warriors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kings +14.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Kings | +725 |
| Total | Under 231.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Kings +14.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kings vs. Warriors player props
NBA player props are a popular way to wager on Tuesday's Kings vs. Warriors matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Devin Carter is expected to lead the Kings with 16 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 26 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists for the Warriors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Kings prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Kings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Carter | 16 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 35 |
| Maxime Raynaud | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 32 |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
| Nique Clifford | 14 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 33 |
| Malik Monk | 13 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 25 |
Warriors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 26 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 44 |
| B. Podziemski | 16 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 36 |
| D. Melton | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Gary Payton | 15 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 33 |
| Draymond Green | 11 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 35 |
Kings vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Warriors and Kings at Chase Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Tuesday, April 7, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Tuesday, with Stephen Curry projected for a game-high 44 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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