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Kings vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Kings vs. Warriors NBA game on April 7, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
105
110
Apr 7, 10:00 PM ET Chase Center
Apr 7, 10:00 PM ET Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kings | 26 | 27 | 28 | 24 | 105 |
Warriors | 25 | 41 | 19 | 25 | 110 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Kings
- Warriors
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kings | 26 | 27 | 28 | 24 | 105 |
Warriors | 25 | 41 | 19 | 25 | 110 |
Q4 00:17 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:41 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:39 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:58 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:14 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:38 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:53 Kings makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kings personal foul
De'Anthony Melton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-110
Warriors personal foul
Killian Hayes misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Kings offensive rebound
+1
Killian Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-109
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey)
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kings misses three point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Kings turnover
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski)
Kings misses three point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Kings personal foul
+1
Seth Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-108
Warriors lineup change (Seth Curry, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski)
Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, Precious Achiuwa, Killian Hayes, Doug McDermott, Maxime Raynaud)
+1
Seth Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-109
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
104-107
Stephen Curry offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
104-104
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
104-101
Nique Clifford defensive rebound
Kings personal foul
Kings 60 second timeout
+1
Seth Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-101
Warriors lineup change (Seth Curry, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey)
Seth Curry misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
101-100
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
99-100
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Nique Clifford defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Kings personal foul
Warriors defensive rebound
Jump ball. (Draymond Green gains possession)
Kings misses two point jump shot
Warriors violation
Charles Bassey kicked ball violation
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Seth Curry, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Charles Bassey)
Kings defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
99-98
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
97-98
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Pat Spencer, Seth Curry, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green)
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Killian Hayes defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
+2
Dylan Cardwell makes two point jump shot
97-95
Kings misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
95-95
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
95-92
Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
93-92
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
91-92
Kings personal foul
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
91-89
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Killian Hayes defensive rebound
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kings personal foul
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-88
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-89
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
89-87
Precious Achiuwa offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Brandin Podziemski turnover
Warriors personal foul
Warriors 60 second timeout
Nique Clifford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Kings offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Malevy Leons, Pat Spencer, De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski)
+1
Nique Clifford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-87
Doug McDermott defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings personal foul
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-86
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-87
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
85-85
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
Doug McDermott offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings misses two point jump shot
Killian Hayes defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
83-85
Precious Achiuwa offensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey)
Kings personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Seth Curry, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, De'Anthony Melton)
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
81-85
Warriors turnover
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
78-85
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
Dylan Cardwell misses two point tip layup
Kings misses two point jump shot
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Killian Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-85
+1
Killian Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-85
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Pat Spencer, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Charles Bassey)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
74-85
Charles Bassey offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
72-85
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kings misses three point jump shot
Doug McDermott defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, Precious Achiuwa, Killian Hayes, Doug McDermott, Dylan Cardwell)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
72-83
Warriors turnover
Kings turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Charles Bassey)
Kings lineup change (Killian Hayes, Doug McDermott, Devin Carter, Maxime Raynaud, Dylan Cardwell)
Kings misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
70-83
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
70-80
Kings personal foul
+1
Gary Payton II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-79
+1
Gary Payton II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-80
Kings lineup change (Killian Hayes, Doug McDermott, Devin Carter, Maxime Raynaud, Dylan Cardwell)
Kings lineup change (Daeqwon Plowden, Killian Hayes, Doug McDermott, Maxime Raynaud, Dylan Cardwell)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
67-78
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kings turnover
Maxime Raynaud offensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
65-78
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Seth Curry, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green)
Killian Hayes defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
Kings turnover
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
65-76
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Kings personal foul
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Seth Curry, Stephen Curry, Charles Bassey)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
65-74
Maxime Raynaud offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors personal foul
+1
Maxime Raynaud makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-74
+1
Maxime Raynaud makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-74
Warriors turnover
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kings offensive rebound
Kings turnover
Kings lineup change (Daeqwon Plowden, Killian Hayes, Devin Carter, Maxime Raynaud, Dylan Cardwell)
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Pat Spencer, Seth Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
61-74
Charles Bassey offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Charles Bassey offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Devin Carter defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kings personal foul
Kings lineup change (Daeqwon Plowden, Precious Achiuwa, Killian Hayes, Devin Carter, Maxime Raynaud)
Kings turnover
Nique Clifford offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
61-72
Kings personal foul
Nique Clifford turnover (offensive foul)
Kings 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Warriors turnover
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kings misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Malevy Leons turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Pat Spencer, De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
61-70
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
59-70
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
59-68
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
57-68
Kings personal foul
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
57-66
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
+1
Nique Clifford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-66
+1
Nique Clifford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
55-66
Warriors personal foul
Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
End of 1st Half.
Kings lineup change (Daeqwon Plowden, Nique Clifford, Precious Achiuwa, Devin Carter, Maxime Raynaud)
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Pat Spencer, Draymond Green, De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
53-66
+3
Pat Spencer makes three point jump shot
51-66
Charles Bassey misses two point tip layup
Charles Bassey offensive rebound
Charles Bassey offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Seth Curry personal foul
+1
Doug McDermott makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-66
+1
Doug McDermott makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-66
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point driving layup
53-66
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
53-66
Kings defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kings personal foul
Pat Spencer misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors violation
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Seth Curry, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Charles Bassey)
+1
Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-66
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
53-66
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 1
44-56
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
53-66
Kings personal foul
Precious Achiuwa violation
Kings personal foul
Warriors violation
Kings personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes technical free throw 1 of 1
53-66
Precious Achiuwa turnover (traveling)
Warriors turnover
Kings turnover
Kings 60 second timeout
Kings lineup change (Daeqwon Plowden, Precious Achiuwa, Killian Hayes, Doug McDermott, Maxime Raynaud)
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Seth Curry, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
44-56
Draymond Green defensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
53-66
Kings misses two point jump shot
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point pullup jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
44-48
Kings personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 1
44-52
Kings personal foul
Kings personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Seth Curry, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
44-48
Devin Carter defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Kings lineup change (Daeqwon Plowden, Nique Clifford, Doug McDermott, Devin Carter, Dylan Cardwell)
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Pat Spencer, De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey)
Kings misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
53-66
Kings violation
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Kings vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Kings vs. Warriors
- Date: Tuesday, April 7, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -13.5
- Total (Over/Under): 231.5
- Moneyline Odds: Kings +852, Warriors -852
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Kings: 14%
- Warriors: 86%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Kings 109-122 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Kings a win probability of 14%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 86%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Kings in the NBA game at Chase Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Kings vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
