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Suns vs. Lakers prediction: Phoenix to win, LeBron James projected for 23 points in Friday's NBA game [4/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers predictions for NBA Friday.
The Los Angeles Lakers will square off with the Phoenix Suns in NBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Friday, starting at 10:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Suns as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Lakers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Lakers lineup will feature stars like LeBron James, Rui Hachimura and Luke Kennard, while the Suns will be led by Dillon Brooks, Jalen Green and Collin Gillespie.
Luka Doncic will not be on the court, with the Slovenian star out for this one.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Suns vs. Lakers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA matchup between the Suns and Lakers, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Suns a 59% chance of beating the Lakers. Our predicted final score has the Suns winning 109-107.
According to our model, the Suns (-2.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 217.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Suns vs. Lakers odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Suns | Lakers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-106) | +2.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -135 | +120 |
| Total | o217.5 (-110) | u217.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Suns vs. Lakers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Suns -2.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Suns | -135 |
| Total | Under 217.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Suns to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Suns vs. Lakers player props
NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Friday's Suns vs. Lakers matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
Dillon Brooks is expected to lead the Suns with 21 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists, while LeBron James is projected to have 23 points, 7 rebounds and 9 assists for the Lakers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Suns prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Suns are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks | 21 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| Jalen Green | 18 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
| C. Gillespie | 15 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 35 |
| Grayson Allen | 14 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 28 |
| Mark Williams | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 28 |
Lakers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lakers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James | 23 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 51 |
| Rui Hachimura | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 23 |
| Luke Kennard | 12 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
| Deandre Ayton | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 25 |
| Jake LaRavia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
Suns vs. Lakers game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between the Lakers and Suns at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Suns vs. Los Angeles Lakers
- Date: Friday, April 10, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Lakers in Friday's NBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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