NBA picks today: Friday's best bets include Grizzlies vs. Jazz play [4/10/2026]

Grizzlies vs. Jazz under 247.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Jazz (9:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model has identified value on under 247.5 points in Grizzlies vs. Jazz at -105 odds. A 58.7% probability produces an edge of 7.5%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Bulls +14.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 57.8%
• Matchup: Magic vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Friday)

Bulls +14.5 carries a 6.6% edge and a probability of 57.8% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Pelicans +16.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 57.8%
• Matchup: Pelicans vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Pelicans +16.5 vs. Celtics at -105 odds shows a 6.6% edge, supported by a 57.8% probability in simulations.

Wizards +18 (-110)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 58.9%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Friday)

A 6.5% edge and 58.9% probability make Wizards +18 vs. Heat at a value play in the Heat vs. Wizards matchup, per our model.

Pacers +15.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Matchup: 76ers vs. Pacers (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Pacers +15.5 at -105 odds presents a 6.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.6%.

Mavericks +17.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model finds value on Mavericks +17.5 at -110 odds, supported by an edge of 6.0%.

Jazz ML (-166)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 65.5%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Jazz (9:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model has uncovered value on Jazz ML at -166 odds. A 65.5% probability produces a 3.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Timberwolves +10.5 (-110)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET, Friday)

A 3.0% edge on a 55.4% probability makes Timberwolves +10.5 at -110 odds a solid value play in today's Timberwolves vs. Rockets matchup.

Heat vs. Wizards under 249.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model projects value on under 249.5 points at -105 odds. A 54.2% probability produces a 3.0% edge, making the under the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Kings +11.5 (-110)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Matchup: Warriors vs. Kings (10:00PM ET, Friday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Kings +11.5 at -110 odds shows a 55.3% probability and a 2.9% edge.

NBA best bets summary: Friday, 4/10/2026

As of 6:32AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Under 247.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	7.5%	58.7%
Magic vs. Bulls	Bulls +14.5	-105 @ BetMGM	6.6%	57.8%
Pelicans vs. Celtics	Pelicans +16.5	-105 @ DraftKings	6.6%	57.8%
Heat vs. Wizards	Wizards +18	-110 @ FanDuel	6.5%	58.9%
76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers +15.5	-105 @ BetMGM	6.4%	57.6%
Mavericks vs. Spurs	Mavericks +17.5	-110 @ BetMGM	6.0%	58.4%
Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz ML	-166 @ FanDuel	3.1%	65.5%
Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Timberwolves +10.5	-110 @ FanDuel	3.0%	55.4%
Heat vs. Wizards	Under 249.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	3.0%	54.2%
Warriors vs. Kings	Kings +11.5	-110 @ FanDuel	2.9%	55.3%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [4/10/2026]

• Pistons vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Cavaliers vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Heat vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Pelicans vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Raptors vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• 76ers vs. Pacers (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Mavericks vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Magic vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Nets vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Thunder vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET, Friday)
• Grizzlies vs. Jazz (9:30PM ET, Friday)
• Timberwolves vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET, Friday)
• Clippers vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET, Friday)
• Warriors vs. Kings (10:00PM ET, Friday)
• Suns vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET, Friday)

Using Dimebot for betting research

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Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for April 10, 2026, featuring plays such as under 247.5 points in the Grizzlies vs. Jazz matchup and Bulls +14.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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