76ers vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [12/28/2025]

NBA action continues on Sunday at 3:30 PM ET as the Philadelphia 76ers square off with the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the 76ers vs. Thunder game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, while the 76ers will rely on Tyrese Maxey, Paul George and VJ Edgecombe.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Sixers vs. Sixers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA matchup between the 76ers and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Thunder an 85% chance of defeating the 76ers. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 119-107.

According to our model, the 76ers (+14.5) have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 226.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.

76ers vs. Thunder odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	76ers	Thunder
Spread	+14.5 (-105)	-14.5 (-115)
Moneyline	+640	-800
Total	o226.5 (-106)	u226.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

76ers vs. Thunder picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	76ers +14.5	-105
Moneyline	76ers	+640
Total	Over 226.5	-106

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is 76ers +14.5 at the spread.

76ers vs. Thunder player props

NBA player props are a great way to wager on the 76ers vs. Thunder matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.

Tyrese Maxey is expected to lead the 76ers with 27 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to have 31 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists for the Thunder.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

76ers prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the 76ers are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Tyrese Maxey	27	4	6	3	48
Paul George	16	6	3	3	34
VJ Edgecombe	14	6	4	2	32
Quentin Grimes	13	4	4	2	28
Dominick Barlow	9	7	1	0	24

Thunder prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Thunder:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	31	5	7	2	55
Jalen Williams	19	5	5	1	39
Chet Holmgren	17	8	2	1	36
I. Hartenstein	11	9	3	0	31
Ajay Mitchell	11	3	3	1	23

Sixers vs. Thunder game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Thunder and 76ers at Paycom Center is scheduled to begin at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Venue: Paycom Center

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat the 76ers on Sunday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 55 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate 76ers vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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