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Thunder vs. Magic prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Tuesday's NBA game [3/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Oklahoma City Thunder vs Orlando Magic predictions for NBA Tuesday.
The Orlando Magic will square off with the favored Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action at Kia Center on Tuesday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Thunder vs. Magic game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Magic lineup will feature stars like Paolo Banchero, Desmond Bane and Jalen Suggs, while the Thunder will look to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Ajay Mitchell.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Thunder vs. Magic prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NBA game between the Thunder and Magic 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Thunder a 76% chance of defeating the Magic. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 115-107.
According to our model, the Magic (+9.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 222.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Thunder vs. Magic odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Thunder | Magic |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -9.5 (-115) | +9.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -450 | +350 |
| Total | o222.5 (-115) | u222.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Thunder vs. Magic picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Magic +9.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Magic | +350 |
| Total | Under 222.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Magic +9.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Thunder vs. Magic player props
Looking for Thunder vs. Magic NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Kia Center.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 32 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists, while Paolo Banchero is projected to have 21 points, 8 rebounds and 5 assists for the Magic.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Thunder prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 32 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 55 |
| Chet Holmgren | 17 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 37 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 14 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 29 |
| Isaiah Joe | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 |
| Luguentz Dort | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 |
Magic prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Magic:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero | 21 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 43 |
| Desmond Bane | 21 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 38 |
| Jalen Suggs | 16 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 38 |
| Wendell Carter | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| T. da Silva | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
Thunder vs. Magic game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's matchup between the Magic and Thunder at Kia Center is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Orlando Magic
- Date: Tuesday, March 17, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Kia Center
Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Magic on Tuesday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 55 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Magic insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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