Thunder vs. Timberwolves prediction: Why Oklahoma City is favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [12/19/2025]

The Minnesota Timberwolves will take on the favored Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action at Target Center on Friday, starting at 9:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Thunder vs. Timberwolves game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature stars like Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels, while the Thunder will be led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Thunder vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA matchup between the Thunder and Timberwolves 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Thunder a 71% chance of beating the Timberwolves. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 119-112.

According to our model, the Timberwolves (+5.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 232.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Thunder	Timberwolves
Spread	-5.5 (-118)	+5.5 (-102)
Moneyline	-250	+210
Total	o232.5 (-110)	u232.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Timberwolves +5.5	-102
Moneyline	Thunder	-250
Total	Under 232.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Thunder to win.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves player props

NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Friday's Thunder vs. Timberwolves matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 28 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists, while Anthony Edwards is projected to have 25 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Timberwolves.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Thunder prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	28	5	6	2	49
Jalen Williams	18	5	5	1	37
Chet Holmgren	17	7	2	1	34
Ajay Mitchell	10	3	3	1	22
I. Hartenstein	10	8	3	0	28

Timberwolves prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Timberwolves:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Anthony Edwards	25	6	4	3	45
Julius Randle	20	7	6	2	42
Jaden McDaniels	15	5	3	2	31
D. DiVincenzo	13	4	4	3	29
Naz Reid	13	6	2	3	29

Thunder vs. Wolves game-day updates and essential details

Friday's matchup between the Timberwolves and Thunder at Target Center is scheduled to begin at 9:30 PM ET.

• Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
• Date: Friday, December 19, 2025
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: Target Center

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves on Friday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Timberwolves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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