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Thunder vs. Timberwolves prediction: Why Oklahoma City is favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [12/19/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves predictions for NBA Friday.
The Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder will meet in NBA action at Target Center on Friday, with tipoff at 9:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Thunder vs. Timberwolves game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature stars like Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Bones Hyland, while the Thunder will look to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Thunder vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA game between the Thunder and Timberwolves 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Thunder a 74% chance of beating the Timberwolves. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 119-112.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Thunder and Timberwolves each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 233.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Thunder vs. Timberwolves odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Thunder | Timberwolves |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-102) | +7.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -300 | +260 |
| Total | o233.5 (-110) | u233.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Thunder vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Thunder -7.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Thunder | -300 |
| Total | Under 233.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Under 233.5 total points.
Thunder vs. Timberwolves player props
NBA prop bets are a common way to wager on Friday's Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 28 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Anthony Edwards is projected to have 25 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Timberwolves.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Thunder prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 28 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 47 |
| Jalen Williams | 18 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 36 |
| Chet Holmgren | 17 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 34 |
| I. Hartenstein | 10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 30 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 20 |
Timberwolves prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Timberwolves:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 25 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 45 |
| Julius Randle | 20 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 42 |
| Bones Hyland | 16 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 34 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 15 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| D. DiVincenzo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 29 |
Thunder vs. Wolves game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Timberwolves and Thunder at Target Center is scheduled to start at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Date: Friday, December 19, 2025
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Target Center
Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves on Friday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 47 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Timberwolves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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