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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Timberwolves NBA game on December 19, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
107
112
Dec 20, 2:30AM Target Center
Dec 20, 2:30AM Target Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 33 | 18 | 34 | 22 | 107 |
Timberwolves | 23 | 25 | 35 | 29 | 112 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
1%
99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 33 | 18 | 34 | 22 | 107 |
Timberwolves | 23 | 25 | 35 | 29 | 112 |
Q4 00:00 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:28 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:38 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:56 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:13 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Jalen Williams misses heave shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder turnover
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-111
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-112
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Rob Dillingham)
Thunder personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-109
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-110
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Alex Caruso offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
107-108
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-105
Julius Randle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards)
Timberwolves personal foul
Thunder defensive rebound
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-104
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-104
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
105-104
+3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot
105-102
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-101
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-102
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-100
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-100
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards)
Timberwolves personal foul
Rudy Gobert turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
100-100
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Timberwolves turnover
Thunder defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Thunder offensive rebound
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-100
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
97-100
Thunder personal foul
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Donte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-100
Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
95-99
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
93-99
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
93-97
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rob Dillingham defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
93-95
Timberwolves personal foul
Julius Randle turnover (offensive foul)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Rob Dillingham)
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
91-95
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Rob Dillingham defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Naz Reid offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
89-94
Thunder personal foul
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 1
89-95
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
89-92
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-90
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-90
Timberwolves personal foul
Chet Holmgren misses two point driving layup
Thunder offensive rebound
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-90
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-90
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Anthony Edwards offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-89
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-90
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
85-88
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
87-85
Timberwolves violation
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Timberwolves turnover
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
85-85
Thunder turnover
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren)
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Rob Dillingham)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-83
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-83
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Terrence Shannon Jr., Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
83-83
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-81
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
83-80
Thunder personal foul
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-79
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
81-80
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren)
Thunder turnover
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
81-78
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
81-75
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-75
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-75
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Terrence Shannon Jr., Naz Reid)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
77-75
Thunder personal foul
Thunder 60 second timeout
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-74
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-75
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
74-73
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-73
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-73
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Bones Hyland offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Bones Hyland makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-73
Bones Hyland misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
70-72
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle turnover (lost ball)
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Julius Randle misses two point running layup
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
68-72
Timberwolves personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
65-72
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards)
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-69
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-70
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
65-68
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-65
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-66
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
65-64
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-63
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-64
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
62-62
Thunder personal foul
Donte DiVincenzo misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
62-59
Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
59-59
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
57-59
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes clear path free throw 1 of 2
56-57
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes clear path free throw 2 of 2
57-57
Timberwolves turnover
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
55-57
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
55-54
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
53-54
Thunder personal foul
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
53-51
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
53-48
Timberwolves personal foul
Thunder turnover
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
51-48
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
51-46
Timberwolves turnover
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
48-46
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
48-43
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
45-43
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
43-43
Bones Hyland shooting foul
Instant replay
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving layup
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
43-41
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-37
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-38
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-36
Julius Randle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-35
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo)
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-35
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder personal foul
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
41-35
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-33
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-33
Timberwolves turnover
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards)
Thunder turnover
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Instant replay
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Rob Dillingham)
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-33
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Rob Dillingham defensive rebound
Ajay Mitchell misses three point jump shot
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
39-32
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Kenrich Williams shooting foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Ajay Mitchell personal foul (Naz Reid draws the foul)
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Alex Caruso misses three point jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Naz Reid misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Naz Reid misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren shooting foul (Naz Reid draws the foul)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Kenrich Williams)
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point driving layup
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point driving layup (Rob Dillingham assists)
39-30
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-28
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-28
Donte DiVincenzo shooting foul (Ajay Mitchell draws the foul)
Thunder turnover
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thunder vs. Timberwolves: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Timberwolves
- Date: Friday, December 19, 2025
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Target Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder -235, Timberwolves +215
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 71%
- Timberwolves: 29%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 119-113 Timberwolves.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 71%, while the Timberwolves have a win probability of 29%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Timberwolves in the NBA game at Target Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Timberwolves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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