Spurs vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Hawks NBA game on December 19, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Spurs
126
98
State Farm Arena
Hawks
State Farm Arena
TEAM1234T
Spurs
32 36 34 24 126
Hawks
19 25 28 26 98
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Spurs
    >99%
  • Hawks
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Spurs
32 36 34 24 126
Hawks
19 25 28 26 98
Q4 00:12 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Kelly Olynyk misses three point running jump shot
Q4 00:49 Keaton Wallace misses two point running layup
Q4 1:11 Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Kelly Olynyk makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:03 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:23 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:41 Hawks misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:10
    Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:12
    Spurs personal foul
  4. Q4 00:12
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    126-98
  5. Q4 00:12
    Asa Newell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  6. Q4 00:25
    Spurs turnover
  7. Q4 00:39
    Jordan McLaughlin offensive rebound
  8. Q4 00:42
    Kelly Olynyk misses three point running jump shot
  9. Q4 00:46
    Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
  10. Q4 00:49
    Keaton Wallace misses two point running layup
  11. Q4 00:53
    Spurs turnover
  12. Q4 1:08
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  13. Q4 1:11
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  14. Q4 1:17
    +2
    Kelly Olynyk makes two point jump shot
    126-96
  15. Q4 1:34
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    124-96
  16. Q4 1:34
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  17. Q4 1:34
    Mouhamed Gueye offensive rebound
  18. Q4 1:46
    Kelly Olynyk turnover
  19. Q4 1:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  20. Q4 2:03
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    126-96
  21. Q4 2:23
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    126-96
  22. Q4 2:41
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  23. Q4 2:41
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  24. Q4 2:41
    Spurs defensive rebound
  25. Q4 2:47
    Keaton Wallace defensive rebound
  26. Q4 2:50
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  27. Q4 3:01
    Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
  28. Q4 3:05
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  29. Q4 3:21
    Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
  30. Q4 3:24
    Kelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot
  31. Q4 3:40
    +2
    Keaton Wallace makes two point jump shot
    124-94
  32. Q4 3:55
    Zaccharie Risacher personal foul
  33. Q4 3:55
    Spurs offensive rebound
  34. Q4 3:55
    Carter Bryant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  35. Q4 3:55
    +1
    Carter Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    126-98
  36. Q4 4:15
    +2
    Keaton Wallace makes two point jump shot
    121-90
  37. Q4 4:27
    +2
    Jordan McLaughlin makes two point jump shot
    121-88
  38. Q4 4:53
    +2
    Luke Kennard makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Asa Newell assists)
    119-88
  39. Q4 5:16
    +3
    Lindy Waters III makes three point jump shot
    119-86
  40. Q4 5:38
    Spurs defensive rebound
  41. Q4 5:38
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  42. Q4 5:41
    Asa Newell misses three point jump shot
  43. Q4 5:44
    Mouhamed Gueye offensive rebound
  44. Q4 5:49
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  45. Q4 6:02
    Hawks offensive rebound
  46. Q4 6:02
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  47. Q4 6:03
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  48. Q4 6:16
    +2
    Jordan McLaughlin makes two point jump shot
    121-90
  49. Q4 6:42
    +2
    Luke Kennard makes two point jump shot
    114-86
  50. Q4 6:50
    Luke Kennard defensive rebound
  51. Q4 6:54
    Lindy Waters III misses three point pullup jump shot
  52. Q4 7:08
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    114-84
  53. Q4 7:23
    Spurs turnover
  54. Q4 7:30
    Zaccharie Risacher turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  55. Q4 7:30
    Zaccharie Risacher offensive rebound
  56. Q4 7:32
    Zaccharie Risacher misses two point driving layup
  57. Q4 7:40
    Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
  58. Q4 7:43
    Lindy Waters III misses three point jump shot
  59. Q4 7:52
    Luke Kennard personal foul (Jeremy Sochan draws the foul)
  60. Q4 8:03
    +2
    Jalen Johnson makes two point running dunk (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)
    114-81
  61. Q4 8:03
    Spurs lineup change (Jeremy Sochan, Carter Bryant, Kelly Olynyk, Lindy Waters III, Jordan McLaughlin)
  62. Q4 8:03
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  63. Q4 8:03
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Zaccharie Risacher, Mouhamed Gueye, Keaton Wallace, Asa Newell)
  64. Q4 8:06
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  65. Q4 8:09
    Jordan McLaughlin misses two point jump shot
  66. Q4 8:23
    Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
  67. Q4 8:26
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot
  68. Q4 8:36
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  69. Q4 8:40
    Jeremy Sochan misses three point jump shot
  70. Q4 8:47
    Jalen Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Lindy Waters III steals)
  71. Q4 8:58
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  72. Q4 9:02
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  73. Q4 9:13
    +2
    Dyson Daniels makes two point jump shot
    114-79
  74. Q4 9:21
    +2
    Lindy Waters III makes two point jump shot
    114-77
  75. Q4 9:47
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    112-77
  76. Q4 9:51
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  77. Q4 10:02
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  78. Q4 10:02
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Luke Kennard, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  79. Q4 10:02
    Spurs lineup change (Jeremy Sochan, Lindy Waters III, Jordan McLaughlin, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
  80. Q4 10:03
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    112-74
  81. Q4 10:10
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  82. Q4 10:14
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  83. Q4 10:24
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    110-74
  84. Q4 10:44
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    107-74
  85. Q4 10:53
    Spurs violation
  86. Q4 10:53
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
  87. Q4 10:53
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Luke Kennard, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Vit Krejci)
  88. Q4 11:00
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  89. Q4 11:00
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    107-72
  90. Q4 11:07
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  91. Q4 11:10
    Hawks turnover
  92. Q4 11:21
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  93. Q4 11:23
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  94. Q4 11:23
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  95. Q4 11:23
    Hawks personal foul
  96. Q4 11:23
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-72
  97. Q4 11:23
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  98. Q4 11:35
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  99. Q4 11:38
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  100. Q4 11:46
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    104-72
  101. Q3 00:00
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  102. Q3 00:00
    Hawks offensive rebound
  103. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  104. Q4 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle)
  105. Q3 00:01
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    102-72
  106. Q3 00:24
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    99-72
  107. Q3 00:40
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    99-69
  108. Q3 1:03
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    97-69
  109. Q3 1:10
    Vit Krejci defensive rebound
  110. Q3 1:13
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  111. Q3 1:33
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    97-67
  112. Q3 1:47
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    97-65
  113. Q3 1:54
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  114. Q3 1:57
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  115. Q3 2:02
    Vit Krejci defensive rebound
  116. Q3 2:07
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  117. Q3 2:14
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  118. Q3 2:18
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  119. Q3 2:26
    +2
    Keldon Johnson makes two point jump shot
    94-65
  120. Q3 2:26
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  121. Q3 2:30
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  122. Q3 2:36
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  123. Q3 2:38
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  124. Q3 2:54
    Spurs turnover
  125. Q3 3:00
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  126. Q3 3:00
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
  127. Q3 3:00
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Vit Krejci, Asa Newell)
  128. Q3 3:06
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  129. Q3 3:09
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  130. Q3 3:15
    Spurs turnover
  131. Q3 3:20
    Hawks turnover
  132. Q3 3:34
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    92-65
  133. Q3 3:38
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  134. Q3 3:40
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  135. Q3 3:53
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  136. Q3 3:55
    Hawks personal foul
  137. Q3 3:55
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    90-65
  138. Q3 3:55
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  139. Q3 4:03
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  140. Q3 4:06
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  141. Q3 4:12
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  142. Q3 4:15
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  143. Q3 4:35
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    89-65
  144. Q3 4:50
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    89-63
  145. Q3 4:50
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  146. Q3 4:50
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Vit Krejci, Asa Newell)
  147. Q3 4:50
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
  148. Q3 4:56
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  149. Q3 5:00
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  150. Q3 5:11
    Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
  151. Q3 5:15
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  152. Q3 5:17
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  153. Q3 5:20
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  154. Q3 5:35
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  155. Q3 5:35
    Hawks offensive rebound
  156. Q3 5:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  157. Q3 5:35
    Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Zaccharie Risacher, Jalen Johnson, Vit Krejci, Asa Newell)
  158. Q3 5:35
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie)
  159. Q3 5:49
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    87-63
  160. Q3 5:55
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  161. Q3 5:59
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  162. Q3 6:07
    Hawks personal foul
  163. Q3 6:07
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  164. Q3 6:07
    Spurs offensive rebound
  165. Q3 6:07
    Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Zaccharie Risacher, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Asa Newell)
  166. Q3 6:07
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
  167. Q3 6:07
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    85-63
  168. Q3 6:15
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  169. Q3 6:17
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  170. Q3 6:42
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    84-63
  171. Q3 6:58
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    81-63
  172. Q3 7:12
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  173. Q3 7:14
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  174. Q3 7:25
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    81-61
  175. Q3 7:46
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    81-58
  176. Q3 7:47
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  177. Q3 7:50
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  178. Q3 8:08
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    79-58
  179. Q3 8:16
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    76-58
  180. Q3 8:29
    Hawks personal foul
  181. Q3 8:29
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    75-56
  182. Q3 8:29
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    76-56
  183. Q3 8:35
    Hawks violation
  184. Q3 8:35
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle)
  185. Q3 8:56
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    74-56
  186. Q3 9:07
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    74-53
  187. Q3 9:11
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  188. Q3 9:15
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  189. Q3 9:19
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  190. Q3 9:22
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  191. Q3 9:34
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    72-53
  192. Q3 9:44
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    72-51
  193. Q3 10:05
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  194. Q3 10:06
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    70-51
  195. Q3 10:10
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  196. Q3 10:13
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  197. Q3 10:21
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  198. Q3 10:24
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  199. Q3 10:30
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  200. Q3 10:33
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  201. Q3 10:39
    Hawks turnover
  202. Q3 10:50
    Hawks personal foul
  203. Q3 10:50
    +1
    Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    69-49
  204. Q3 10:50
    +1
    Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    70-49
  205. Q3 11:01
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    68-49
  206. Q3 11:05
    Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
  207. Q3 11:08
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  208. Q3 11:23
    Spurs turnover
  209. Q3 11:40
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    68-46
  210. Q3 11:40
    Spurs personal foul
  211. Q3 11:40
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    68-47
  212. Q3 11:44
    Zaccharie Risacher offensive rebound
  213. Q3 11:47
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  214. Q2 00:00
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  215. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  216. Q3 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle)
  217. Q2 00:01
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  218. Q2 00:14
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    68-44
  219. Q2 00:17
    Hawks turnover
  220. Q2 00:32
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  221. Q2 00:35
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  222. Q2 00:45
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  223. Q2 00:47
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  224. Q2 1:07
    Spurs personal foul
  225. Q2 1:07
    Dylan Harper turnover (offensive foul)
  226. Q2 1:26
    Spurs personal foul
  227. Q2 1:26
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    66-43
  228. Q2 1:26
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    66-44
  229. Q2 1:34
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  230. Q2 1:34
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    66-42
  231. Q2 1:36
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  232. Q2 1:36
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  233. Q2 1:41
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  234. Q2 1:49
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  235. Q2 1:52
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  236. Q2 2:04
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
    64-42
  237. Q2 2:06
    Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
  238. Q2 2:09
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  239. Q2 2:20
    Spurs personal foul
  240. Q2 2:20
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
  241. Q2 2:20
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Dyson Daniels, Zaccharie Risacher, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
  242. Q2 2:20
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, Lindy Waters III, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes)
  243. Q2 2:25
    Hawks turnover
  244. Q2 2:40
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    62-42
  245. Q2 2:52
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  246. Q2 2:55
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  247. Q2 3:00
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  248. Q2 3:04
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  249. Q2 3:21
    Spurs personal foul
  250. Q2 3:21
    Dyson Daniels misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  251. Q2 3:21
    Hawks offensive rebound
  252. Q2 3:21
    +1
    Dyson Daniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    60-42
  253. Q2 3:24
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  254. Q2 3:25
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  255. Q2 3:25
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  256. Q2 3:29
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  257. Q2 3:42
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  258. Q2 3:43
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    60-41
  259. Q2 4:01
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    60-39
  260. Q2 4:13
    Hawks personal foul
  261. Q2 4:19
    Hawks turnover
  262. Q2 4:19
    Hawks turnover
  263. Q2 4:19
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Lindy Waters III, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes)
  264. Q2 4:19
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Vit Krejci)
  265. Q2 4:23
    Luke Kennard defensive rebound
  266. Q2 4:27
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  267. Q2 4:37
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  268. Q2 4:40
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  269. Q2 4:46
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  270. Q2 4:49
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  271. Q2 4:51
    Devin Vassell offensive rebound
  272. Q2 4:54
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  273. Q2 5:15
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    58-39
  274. Q2 5:37
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    58-36
  275. Q2 5:42
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  276. Q2 5:46
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  277. Q2 5:55
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    55-36
  278. Q2 6:14
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    52-36
  279. Q2 6:17
    Spurs turnover
  280. Q2 6:33
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    52-34
  281. Q2 6:42
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    52-31
  282. Q2 6:53
    Hawks personal foul
  283. Q2 6:53
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  284. Q2 6:53
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Lindy Waters III, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle)
  285. Q2 6:53
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Luke Kennard, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Vit Krejci)
  286. Q2 7:04
    Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
  287. Q2 7:04
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    50-31
  288. Q2 7:10
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  289. Q2 7:11
    Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
  290. Q2 7:13
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  291. Q2 7:29
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    50-29
  292. Q2 7:38
    Hawks personal foul
  293. Q2 7:38
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Luke Kennard, Dyson Daniels, Zaccharie Risacher, Jalen Johnson)
  294. Q2 7:52
    Hawks turnover
  295. Q2 8:04
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    47-29
  296. Q2 8:04
    Hawks personal foul
  297. Q2 8:04
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    48-29
  298. Q2 8:16
    Hawks turnover
  299. Q2 8:16
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
  300. Q2 8:23
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    45-29
  301. Q2 8:30
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  302. Q2 8:33
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  303. Q2 8:38
    Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
  304. Q2 8:42
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  305. Q2 8:57
    Spurs personal foul
  306. Q2 8:57
    +1
    Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    43-28
  307. Q2 8:57
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Dyson Daniels, Zaccharie Risacher, Jalen Johnson, Asa Newell)
  308. Q2 8:57
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
  309. Q2 8:57
    +1
    Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    43-29
  310. Q2 9:02
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  311. Q2 9:05
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  312. Q2 9:18
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    43-27
  313. Q2 9:36
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    43-25
  314. Q2 9:40
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker turnover (lost ball)
  315. Q2 9:41
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  316. Q2 9:44
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  317. Q2 10:00
    Spurs personal foul
  318. Q2 10:00
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    40-23
  319. Q2 10:00
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    40-24
  320. Q2 10:00
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    40-25
  321. Q2 10:03
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  322. Q2 10:06
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  323. Q2 10:16
    Hawks turnover
  324. Q2 10:30
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  325. Q2 10:30
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    40-22
  326. Q2 10:38
    Spurs personal foul
  327. Q2 10:38
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  328. Q2 10:38
    Hawks offensive rebound
  329. Q2 10:38
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    38-22
  330. Q2 10:38
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Zaccharie Risacher, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Asa Newell)
  331. Q2 10:46
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    38-21
  332. Q2 10:49
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  333. Q2 10:52
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  334. Q2 11:07
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    36-21
  335. Q2 11:14
    Hawks turnover
  336. Q2 11:26
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    34-21
  337. Q2 11:45
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  338. Q2 11:47
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker offensive rebound
  339. Q2 11:47
    Spurs personal foul
  340. Q2 11:47
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    32-21
  341. Q2 11:47
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  342. Q2 11:48
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  343. Q1 00:00
    Hawks turnover
  344. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  345. Q2 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Luke Kennard, Zaccharie Risacher, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Asa Newell)
  346. Q1 00:02
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  347. Q1 00:05
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  348. Q1 00:27
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  349. Q1 00:30
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  350. Q1 00:35
    Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
  351. Q1 00:38
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  352. Q1 00:57
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  353. Q1 1:00
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  354. Q1 1:06
    Spurs personal foul
  355. Q1 1:06
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  356. Q1 1:06
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
  357. Q1 1:08
    Vit Krejci defensive rebound
  358. Q1 1:11
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  359. Q1 1:29
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  360. Q1 1:31
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  361. Q1 1:37
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  362. Q1 1:39
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  363. Q1 1:47
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  364. Q1 1:50
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  365. Q1 1:50
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (lost ball)
  366. Q1 1:51
    Mouhamed Gueye misses three point jump shot
  367. Q1 1:51
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  368. Q1 2:02
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  369. Q1 2:05
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  370. Q1 2:10
    Hawks turnover
  371. Q1 2:19
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    32-19
  372. Q1 2:22
    Hawks turnover
  373. Q1 2:32
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    30-19
  374. Q1 2:39
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  375. Q1 2:45
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  376. Q1 3:08
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    27-19
  377. Q1 3:08
    Hawks personal foul
  378. Q1 3:08
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    28-19
  379. Q1 3:21
    Hawks personal foul
  380. Q1 3:21
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
  381. Q1 3:21
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Luke Kennard, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Vit Krejci, Mouhamed Gueye)
  382. Q1 3:37
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  383. Q1 3:40
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  384. Q1 3:49
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    25-19
  385. Q1 4:01
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)
    23-19
  386. Q1 4:15
    Spurs turnover
  387. Q1 4:15
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Vit Krejci, Mouhamed Gueye)
  388. Q1 4:15
    Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Vit Krejci, Mouhamed Gueye)
  389. Q1 4:15
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle)
  390. Q1 4:22
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  391. Q1 4:26
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  392. Q1 4:40
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    23-17
  393. Q1 4:54
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    21-17
  394. Q1 5:11
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    21-15
  395. Q1 5:29
    Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
  396. Q1 5:29
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    19-15
  397. Q1 5:32
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  398. Q1 5:45
    Hawks personal foul
  399. Q1 5:45
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  400. Q1 5:45
    Spurs offensive rebound
  401. Q1 5:45
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    19-13
  402. Q1 6:01
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    18-13
  403. Q1 6:15
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  404. Q1 6:15
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle)
  405. Q1 6:15
    Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Zaccharie Risacher, Jalen Johnson, Vit Krejci, Mouhamed Gueye)
  406. Q1 6:17
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    18-11
  407. Q1 6:25
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  408. Q1 6:29
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  409. Q1 6:38
    Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
  410. Q1 6:41
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  411. Q1 6:43
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  412. Q1 6:46
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  413. Q1 6:55
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  414. Q1 6:55
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    15-11
  415. Q1 6:58
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  416. Q1 7:10
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    13-11
  417. Q1 7:21
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    13-8
  418. Q1 7:42
    Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
  419. Q1 7:42
    Spurs personal foul
  420. Q1 7:42
    +1
    Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    11-7
  421. Q1 7:42
    +1
    Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    11-8
  422. Q1 7:43
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  423. Q1 7:49
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  424. Q1 7:53
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  425. Q1 8:04
    Hawks turnover
  426. Q1 8:22
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    11-6
  427. Q1 8:26
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  428. Q1 8:28
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  429. Q1 8:35
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  430. Q1 8:39
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  431. Q1 8:56
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    8-6
  432. Q1 9:04
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  433. Q1 9:07
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  434. Q1 9:14
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  435. Q1 9:15
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  436. Q1 9:15
    De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
  437. Q1 9:19
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  438. Q1 9:29
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    5-6
  439. Q1 9:33
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  440. Q1 9:36
    Stephon Castle misses two point driving layup
  441. Q1 9:36
    Stephon Castle turnover (lost ball)
  442. Q1 9:47
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    5-3
  443. Q1 9:56
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    5-0
  444. Q1 9:59
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  445. Q1 10:03
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot
  446. Q1 10:13
    Spurs turnover
  447. Q1 10:21
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  448. Q1 10:26
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  449. Q1 10:32
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  450. Q1 10:36
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  451. Q1 10:46
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  452. Q1 10:51
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  453. Q1 10:58
    Spurs turnover
  454. Q1 11:14
    Hawks turnover
  455. Q1 11:42
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    2-0
  456. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  457. Q1 12:00
    (Stephon Castle gains possession)
  458. Q1 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle)
  459. Q1 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Dyson Daniels, Zaccharie Risacher, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Box Score
Spurs
PosPlayerPts
Hawks
PosPlayerPts

Spurs vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Spurs vs. Hawks
  • Date: Friday, December 19, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 238
  • Moneyline Odds: Spurs -158, Hawks +142

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Spurs: 63%
  • Hawks: 37%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 120-117 Hawks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 63%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 37%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Hawks in the NBA game at State Farm Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Spurs vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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