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Thunder vs. Lakers prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Tuesday's NBA game [4/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Lakers predictions for NBA Tuesday.
The Los Angeles Lakers will take on the favored Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Tuesday, commencing at 10:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Thunder vs. Lakers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Lakers lineup will feature players like LeBron James, Luke Kennard and Rui Hachimura, while the Thunder will look to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Ajay Mitchell.
Luka Doncic will miss the game though with the Slovenian star out for this one.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Thunder vs. Lakers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NBA game between the Thunder and Lakers, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Thunder a 90% chance of beating the Lakers. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 118-103.
According to our model, the Lakers (+16.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 223.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Thunder vs. Lakers odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Thunder | Lakers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -16.5 (-114) | +16.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | -1800 | +1100 |
| Total | o223.5 (-105) | u223.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Thunder vs. Lakers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lakers +16.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Lakers | +1100 |
| Total | Under 223.5 | -112 |
According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Lakers +16.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Thunder vs. Lakers player props
Betting on Oklahoma City vs. LA Lakers NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 28 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while LeBron James is projected to have 23 points, 7 rebounds and 8 assists for the Lakers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Thunder prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 28 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 48 |
| Chet Holmgren | 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 33 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| I. Hartenstein | 8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 27 |
| Cason Wallace | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 22 |
Lakers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lakers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James | 23 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 51 |
| Luke Kennard | 14 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 30 |
| Rui Hachimura | 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 24 |
| Jake LaRavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| Jaxson Hayes | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 |
Thunder vs. Lakers game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's matchup between the Lakers and Thunder at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to start at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers
- Date: Tuesday, April 7, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with a 90% win probability, will likely beat the Lakers on Tuesday, with LeBron James projected for a game-high 51 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Lakers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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