NBA player props today: Wednesday's best props include Brandin Podziemski [1/28/2026]

Dimers' NBA props are live for January 28, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Brandin Podziemski, Ryan Kalkbrenner and Cooper Flagg.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Hawks vs. Celtics and Lakers vs. Cavaliers, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop picks for Wednesday, 1/28

Sourced from 35+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for January 28, ranked by edge.

Brandin Podziemski over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 12.7%
• Probability: 48.7%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Warriors vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Golden State's Brandin Podziemski over 1.5 steals. A probability of 48.7% gives this play an edge of 12.7% at +178 odds.

Ryan Kalkbrenner over 1.5 blocks (+178)

• Edge: 11.9%
• Probability: 47.9%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Hornets vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

Ryan Kalkbrenner’s blocks prop shows an 11.9% edge at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 blocks on the over 1.5 line.

Cooper Flagg over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 11.1%
• Probability: 47.1%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Cooper Flagg over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 47.1% probability and an 11.1% edge at +178.

Naji Marshall over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 10.8%
• Probability: 46.8%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)

Our model projects Naji Marshall to record 1.3 steals today, creating an edge of 10.8% on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds.

De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals (+174)

• Edge: 10.1%
• Probability: 46.5%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Spurs vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals for San Antonio, showing an edge of 10.1% at +174 odds.

Keyonte George over 1.5 steals (+181)

• Edge: 10.0%
• Probability: 45.6%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Warriors vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

Keyonte George’s steals prop shows an edge of 10.0% at +181 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 today.

Jusuf Nurkic over 1.5 steals (+175)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 45.6%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Warriors vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

Our model projects Jusuf Nurkic for 1.2 steals for Utah, creating an edge of 9.2% on over 1.5 at +175 odds.

Alperen Sengun over 6.5 assists (+110)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Projection: 7.5
• Game: Spurs vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Alperen Sengun for 7.5 assists, creating value on the over 6.5 line at +110 odds and a 7.8% edge.

Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 45.7%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Spurs vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET)

A 7.5% edge on the over 6.5 steals line makes Stephon Castle a value play in Spurs vs. Rockets, with our model projecting him for 1.2 steals at +162 odds.

Max Christie under 0.5 steals (+154)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 46.7%
• Projection: 0.7
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)

Simulations project Max Christie for 0.7 steals here, creating a 7.3% edge on the under 0.5 line at +154 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Wednesday, January 28, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 8:30PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Warriors vs. Jazz	Brandin Podziemski over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	12.7%	48.7%
Hornets vs. Grizzlies	Ryan Kalkbrenner over 1.5 blocks	+178 @ FanDuel	11.9%	47.9%
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks	Cooper Flagg over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	10.8%	46.8%
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks	Naji Marshall over 1.5 steals	+178 @ DraftKings	10.8%	46.8%
Spurs vs. Rockets	De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals	+174 @ FanDuel	10.1%	46.5%
Warriors vs. Jazz	Keyonte George over 1.5 steals	+181 @ DraftKings	10.0%	45.6%
Warriors vs. Jazz	Jusuf Nurkic over 1.5 steals	+175 @ DraftKings	9.2%	45.6%
Spurs vs. Rockets	Alperen Sengun over 6.5 assists	+110 @ BetMGM	7.8%	55.4%
Spurs vs. Rockets	Stephon Castle over 6.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	7.5%	45.7%
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks	Max Christie under 0.5 steals	+154 @ FanDuel	7.3%	46.7%

Conclusion

For January 28, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Brandin Podziemski, Ryan Kalkbrenner and Cooper Flagg. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.