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NBA First Basket Predictions for Tuesday Include Anthony Edwards, Donovan Mitchell [5/6/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert analysis on Tuesday's NBA first basket market.
This Tuesday, May 6th, it's time for a big day of NBA basketball, headlined by the Pacers' matchup against the Cavaliers at 7:00PM ET.
After reviewing Tuesday's NBA simulation results early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data experts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro with code 20BASKETBALL Get Dimers Pro Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has identified as having the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Tuesday.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Tuesday's NBA games are expected to feature big names such as Anthony Edwards, Donovan Mitchell and Stephen Curry, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for May 6, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
| Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) | 14.5% |
| Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers) | 14.0% |
| Stephen Curry (Warriors) | 13.5% |
| Pascal Siakam (Pacers) | 12.5% |
| Julius Randle (Timberwolves) | 11.4% |
| Buddy Hield (Warriors) | 11.3% |
| Darius Garland (Cavaliers) | 10.9% |
| Evan Mobley (Cavaliers) | 10.2% |
| Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) | 10.1% |
| Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves) | 10.0% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Anthony Edwards, with a probability of 14.5%.
Following Edwards closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Donovan Mitchell at 14.0% and Stephen Curry at 13.5%.
Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Tuesday, 5/6/2025]
After simulating the result of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket betting pick for Tuesday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Aaron Nesmith To Score First Basket
- Odds: +1300
- Edge: 2.7%
- Probability: 9.9%
- Game: Pacers vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate in the game between the Pacers and Cavaliers. The bet is on Aaron Nesmith (IND) at odds of +1300 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.7% according to our analysis.
Our model not only highlights Nesmith for him 2.7% betting edge but also ranks him among the top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the preceding list.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Tuesday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
Get All Seven First Basket Picks for Tuesday Get Dimers Pro NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
- Check updated NBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Schedule for Today [5/6/2025]
- Pacers vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET, Tuesday)
For more betting guides, check out Tuesday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Tuesday.
Today's NBA First Basket Picks: May 6, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 6, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
All of our NBA first basket picks for Tuesday, May 6, are the result of rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.
More About NBA
This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.
For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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