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Read Article NBA First Basket Predictions for Monday Include Stephen Curry, Alperen Sengun [4/28/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Our expert analysis on Monday's NBA first basket market.
This Monday, April 28th, we have another exciting day of NBA basketball ahead of us, headlined by the Cavaliers' matchup against the Heat at 7:30PM ET.
After examining Monday's NBA simulations early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data analysts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro with code 20BASKETBALL Get Dimers Pro Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has projected to have the greatest chance of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Monday.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Monday's NBA games are expected to showcase star players such as Stephen Curry, Alperen Sengun and Donovan Mitchell, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for April 28, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Monday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
| Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
|---|---|
| Stephen Curry (Warriors) | 16.5% |
| Alperen Sengun (Rockets) | 13.3% |
| Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers) | 13.0% |
| Tyler Herro (Heat) | 12.8% |
| Jalen Green (Rockets) | 10.8% |
| Bam Adebayo (Heat) | 10.6% |
| Amen Thompson (Rockets) | 10.5% |
| Dillon Brooks (Rockets) | 10.2% |
| Brandin Podziemski (Warriors) | 9.8% |
| Evan Mobley (Cavaliers) | 9.4% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is Stephen Curry, with a probability of 16.5%.
Following Curry closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Alperen Sengun at 13.3% and Donovan Mitchell at 13.0%.
Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Monday, 4/28/2025]
After simulating the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has discovered the best NBA first basket betting pick for Monday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Tyler Herro To Score First Basket
- Odds: +900
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 12.8%
- Game: Cavaliers vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate in the game between the Cavaliers and Heat. The bet is on Tyler Herro (MIA) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.8% according to our analysis.
Our model not only features Herro for him 2.8% betting edge but also ranks him among the top five most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the above list.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Monday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
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NBA Schedule for Today [4/28/2025]
- Cavaliers vs. Heat (7:30PM ET, Monday)
- Rockets vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Monday)
For more betting guides, check out Monday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Monday.
Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 28, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 28, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Monday, April 28, have been generated thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
More About NBA
This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.
For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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