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Read Article Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +860 pick for Sunday [5/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, May 24, 2026, feature Aaron Judge as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Sunday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top slugging candidates today.
Home run predictions for May 24, 2026
See which hitters join Judge on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +860.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 22.8% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 21.8% |
| Eugenio Suarez (Reds) | 21.7% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 19.8% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 19.1% |
| Ben Rice (Yankees) | 17.7% |
| Ketel Marte (Diamondbacks) | 17.2% |
| Corbin Carroll (Diamondbacks) | 16.9% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 16.8% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 16.7% |
Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.8% chance to go yard, followed by Shohei Ohtani (21.8%) and Eugenio Suarez (21.7%).
Kyle Schwarber and Junior Caminero are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Sunday's home run picks [5/24/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Austin Wells (Yankees) to hit a home run
- Probability: 14.7%
- Odds: +860
- Edge: 4.3%
- Game: Rays vs. Yankees (1:35 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Drew Rasmussen
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, New York slugger Austin Wells rates as a value play at +860 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 4.3% edge.
Against Rays starter Drew Rasmussen, the data supports Wells as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 24 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For May 24, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Eugenio Suarez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Austin Wells who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.3% edge at +860 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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