MLB player props today: Wednesday's best props include Keider Montero [7/22/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Wednesday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for July 22, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Keider Montero, Slade Cecconi and Anthony Kay.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Athletics vs. D-Backs and Padres vs. Braves, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Wednesday, 7/22
Sourced from 160+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for July 22, ranked by probability.
Keider Montero over 1.5 earned runs (-175)
- Edge: 5.5%
- Probability: 69.2%
- Game: Tigers vs. Cubs (8:10PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Detroit's Keider Montero over 1.5 earned runs. A probability of 69.2% gives this play an edge of 5.5% at -175 odds.
Slade Cecconi over 3.5 strikeouts (-148)
- Edge: 7.9%
- Probability: 67.6%
- Game: Twins vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET)
Slade Cecconi’s strikeouts prop shows a 67.6% probability and an 7.9% edge at -148 odds, according to our model.
Anthony Kay over 4.5 hits allowed (-163)
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 67.0%
- Game: White Sox vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)
The data highlights value on Anthony Kay over 4.5 hits allowed, with simulations showing a 67.0% probability and a 5.0% edge at -163.
Martín Pérez over 1.5 earned runs (-146)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 66.8%
- Game: Padres vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Our model finds value on Martín Pérez over 1.5 earned runs, with a 66.8% probability and an edge of 7.4% at -146 odds.
Anthony Kay over 1.5 walks allowed (-162)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 66.2%
- Game: White Sox vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Anthony Kay over 1.5 walks allowed for CHI White Sox, showing an edge of 4.4% at -162 odds.
Sandy Alcantara over 1.5 walks allowed (-107)
- Edge: 7.9%
- Probability: 59.5%
- Game: Marlins vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)
Sandy Alcantara’s walks allowed prop shows an edge of 7.9% at -107 odds, supported by a 59.5% probability according to our model.
Sandy Alcantara over 5.5 hits allowed (-119)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 59.4%
- Game: Marlins vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Sandy Alcantara over 5.5 hits allowed for Miami, with a 59.4% probability and a 5.1% edge at -119 odds.
Aaron Nola over 5.5 hits allowed (-102)
- Edge: 7.8%
- Probability: 58.3%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)
The data shows value on Aaron Nola over 5.5 hits allowed, supported by a 58.3% probability at -102 odds and an edge of 7.8%.
Carlos Narváez to get a hit (-125)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 58.1%
- Game: Orioles vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)
A 2.6% edge on the to get a hit line makes Carlos Narváez a value play in Orioles vs. Red Sox, supported by a 58.1% probability at -125 odds.
Martín Pérez over 4.5 hits allowed (-102)
- Edge: 7.6%
- Probability: 58.1%
- Game: Padres vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Simulations show value on Martín Pérez over 4.5 hits allowed here, with a 58.1% probability and 7.6% edge at -102 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:57PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers vs. Cubs | Keider Montero over 1.5 earned runs | -175 @ BetMGM | 5.5% | 69.2% |
| Twins vs. Guardians | Slade Cecconi over 3.5 strikeouts | -148 @ BetRivers | 7.9% | 67.6% |
| White Sox vs. Rangers | Anthony Kay over 4.5 hits allowed | -163 @ DraftKings | 7.4% | 66.8% |
| Padres vs. Braves | Martín Pérez over 1.5 earned runs | -146 @ DraftKings | 7.4% | 66.8% |
| White Sox vs. Rangers | Anthony Kay over 1.5 walks allowed | -162 @ DraftKings | 4.4% | 66.2% |
| Marlins vs. Astros | Sandy Alcantara over 1.5 walks allowed | -107 @ DraftKings | 7.9% | 59.5% |
| Marlins vs. Astros | Sandy Alcantara over 5.5 hits allowed | -119 @ DraftKings | 5.1% | 59.4% |
| Dodgers vs. Phillies | Aaron Nola over 5.5 hits allowed | -102 @ DraftKings | 7.8% | 58.3% |
| Orioles vs. Red Sox | Carlos Narváez to get a hit | -125 @ BetMGM | 2.6% | 58.1% |
| Padres vs. Braves | Martín Pérez over 4.5 hits allowed | -102 @ DraftKings | 7.6% | 58.1% |
Conclusion
For July 22, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Keider Montero, Slade Cecconi and Anthony Kay. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
