Heat vs. Timberwolves prediction: Minnesota to win, Anthony Edwards projected for big game in Tuesday's NBA matchup [1/6/2026]

The Minnesota Timberwolves will face the Miami Heat in NBA action at Target Center on Tuesday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Timberwolves as the most likely winner of the Heat vs. Timberwolves game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature stars like Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels, while the Heat will rely on Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins and Bam Adebayo.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Heat vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NBA matchup between the Heat and Timberwolves 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Timberwolves a 69% chance of beating the Heat. Our predicted final score has the Timberwolves winning 121-115.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Heat and Timberwolves each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 237.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Heat vs. Timberwolves odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Heat	Timberwolves
Spread	+5.5 (-110)	-5.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+170	-200
Total	o237.5 (-112)	u237.5 (-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Heat vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Timberwolves -5.5	-110
Moneyline	Timberwolves	-200
Total	Under 237.5	-106

According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Timberwolves to win.

Heat vs. Timberwolves player props

NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the Miami vs. Minnesota matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

Norman Powell is expected to lead the Heat with 19 points, 3 rebounds and 2 assists, while Anthony Edwards is projected to have 28 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Timberwolves.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Heat prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Heat are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Norman Powell	19	3	2	2	32
Andrew Wiggins	18	5	3	2	35
Bam Adebayo	16	8	3	1	36
Tyler Herro	15	3	3	2	28
Kel'el Ware	11	9	1	1	29

Timberwolves prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Timberwolves:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Anthony Edwards	28	6	4	3	49
Julius Randle	21	7	6	2	43
Jaden McDaniels	14	5	3	1	30
Naz Reid	13	6	2	2	29
D. DiVincenzo	13	4	4	3	31

Heat vs. Wolves game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's action between the Timberwolves and Heat at Target Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Miami Heat vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
• Date: Tuesday, January 6, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Target Center

Conclusion

We predict the Timberwolves, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Heat on Tuesday, with Anthony Edwards projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Heat vs. Timberwolves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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