Grizzlies vs. Wizards prediction: Why Memphis is favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [12/28/2025]

NBA action continues on Sunday at 6:00 PM ET as the Memphis Grizzlies take on the Washington Wizards at Capital One Arena.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Grizzlies as the most likely winner of the Grizzlies vs. Wizards game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Wizards lineup will feature players like CJ McCollum, Alex Sarr and Tre Johnson, while the Grizzlies will be led by Jaren Jackson, Ja Morant and Santi Aldama.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Grizzlies vs. Wizards prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Grizzlies and Wizards 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Grizzlies a 72% chance of defeating the Wizards. Our predicted final score has the Grizzlies winning 123-116.

According to our model, the Wizards (+7.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 241.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Grizzlies vs. Wizards odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Grizzlies	Wizards
Spread	-7.5 (-114)	+7.5 (-105)
Moneyline	-285	+250
Total	o241.5 (-108)	u241.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Grizzlies vs. Wizards picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Wizards +7.5	-105
Moneyline	Wizards	+250
Total	Under 241.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Wizards +7.5 at the spread.

Grizzlies vs. Wizards player props

Betting on Grizzlies vs. Wizards NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Capital One Arena.

Jaren Jackson is expected to lead the Grizzlies with 20 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists, while CJ McCollum is projected to have 20 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Wizards.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Grizzlies prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Grizzlies are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Jaren Jackson	20	6	2	2	38
Ja Morant	19	4	7	1	39
Santi Aldama	17	8	4	2	37
Cam Spencer	14	3	6	3	31
Jaylen Wells	13	5	2	2	26

Wizards prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wizards:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
CJ McCollum	20	4	4	3	36
Alex Sarr	17	7	3	2	37
Tre Johnson	12	4	2	2	23
Marvin Bagley	12	6	2	0	25
Bub Carrington	12	4	5	2	28

Grizzlies vs. Wizards game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's game between the Wizards and Grizzlies at Capital One Arena is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.

• Who: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Washington Wizards
• Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: Capital One Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Grizzlies, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Wizards on Sunday, with Ja Morant projected for a game-high 39 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Grizzlies vs. Wizards insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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