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Grizzlies vs. Wizards prediction: Why Memphis is favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [12/28/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards predictions for NBA Sunday.
NBA action continues on Sunday at 6:00 PM ET as the favored Memphis Grizzlies square off with the Washington Wizards at Capital One Arena.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Grizzlies as the most likely winner of the Grizzlies vs. Wizards game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Wizards lineup will feature stars like CJ McCollum, Alex Sarr and Kyshawn George, while the Grizzlies will be led by Jaren Jackson, Ja Morant and Santi Aldama.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Grizzlies vs. Wizards prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Grizzlies and Wizards 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 72% chance of beating the Wizards. Our predicted final score has the Grizzlies winning 123-116.
According to our model, the Wizards (+7.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 240.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Grizzlies vs. Wizards odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Grizzlies | Wizards |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-105) | +7.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | -270 | +230 |
| Total | o240.5 (-108) | u240.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Grizzlies vs. Wizards picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wizards +7.5 | -114 |
| Moneyline | Grizzlies | -270 |
| Total | Under 240.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Wizards +7.5 at the spread.
Grizzlies vs. Wizards player props
Looking for Grizzlies vs. Wizards NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Capital One Arena.
Jaren Jackson is expected to lead the Grizzlies with 20 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists, while CJ McCollum is projected to have 19 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Wizards.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Grizzlies prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Grizzlies are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson | 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 38 |
| Ja Morant | 19 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 38 |
| Santi Aldama | 16 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 36 |
| Cam Spencer | 14 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 30 |
| Jaylen Wells | 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
Wizards prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wizards:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum | 19 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 35 |
| Alex Sarr | 17 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| Kyshawn George | 14 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 35 |
| Marvin Bagley | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 |
| Tre Johnson | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
Grizzlies vs. Wizards game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between the Wizards and Grizzlies at Capital One Arena is scheduled to start at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Washington Wizards
- Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Grizzlies, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Wizards on Sunday, with Jaren Jackson projected for a game-high 38 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Grizzlies vs. Wizards insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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