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Lakers vs. Suns prediction: Lakers to win, Luka Doncic projected for big game in Thursday's NBA matchup [2/26/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Phoenix Suns will square off with the favored Los Angeles Lakers in NBA action at Mortgage Matchup Center on Thursday, commencing at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Lakers as the most likely winner of the Lakers vs. Suns game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Suns lineup will feature players like Jalen Green, Grayson Allen and Collin Gillespie, while the Lakers will look to Luka Doncic, LeBron James and Austin Reaves.
Doncic is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 30 points and 3 threes.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Lakers vs. Suns prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA game between the Lakers and Suns 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lakers a 70% chance of defeating the Suns. Our predicted final score has the Lakers winning 114-108.
According to our model, the Lakers (-5.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 223.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Lakers vs. Suns odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lakers | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5.5 (-112) | +5.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -218 | +185 |
| Total | o223.5 (-108) | u223.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lakers vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lakers -5.5 | -112 |
| Moneyline | Lakers | -218 |
| Total | Over 223.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Lakers to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lakers vs. Suns player props
Betting on LA Lakers vs. Phoenix NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Luka Doncic is expected to lead the Lakers with 30 points, 7 rebounds and 8 assists, while Jalen Green is projected to have 19 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Suns.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Lakers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lakers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 30 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 58 |
| LeBron James | 21 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 44 |
| Austin Reaves | 21 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 38 |
| Deandre Ayton | 12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 28 |
| Luke Kennard | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 |
Suns prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Suns:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green | 19 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 34 |
| Grayson Allen | 16 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 31 |
| C. Gillespie | 16 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 35 |
| Mark Williams | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 25 |
| Royce O'Neale | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
Lakers vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Suns and Lakers at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Phoenix Suns
- Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Conclusion
We predict the Lakers, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Suns on Thursday, with Luka Doncic projected for a game-high 58 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lakers vs. Suns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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