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Chargers vs. Patriots Prediction: Chargers Predicted to Win in NFL Week 17 [2024]
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots matchup.
The New England Patriots and Los Angeles Chargers will lock horns in Week 17 of the NFL season at Gillette Stadium on Saturday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Chargers as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's LA Chargers-New England game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Chargers are more likely to win, while the Patriots have a lower chance of victory."
This updated Chargers vs. Patriots betting preview builds on my early Chargers vs. Patriots prediction that I released at the start of the week.
For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Chargers vs. Patriots predictions page.
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Chargers vs. Patriots Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 17 game between the Patriots and Chargers at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots
- Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Patriots and Chargers gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Chargers vs. Patriots matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any LA Chargers vs. New England picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Chargers vs. Patriots Predictions
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NFL matchup between the Chargers and Patriots 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Chargers a 71% chance of beating the Patriots in Week 17 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chargers winning 23-18.
According to our model, the Patriots (+6) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 41.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
In addition to our Chargers vs. Patriots predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for this week's action:
Chargers vs. Patriots Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Chargers | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6 (-110) | +6 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -275 | +240 |
| Total | o41.5 (-110) | u41.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chargers vs. Patriots Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Chargers vs. Patriots matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Chargers vs. Patriots TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Chargers vs. Patriots?
According to our model, Los Angeles' J.K. Dobbins is most likely to score the first TD in Chargers vs. Patriots.
Our projections give Dobbins an 11.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Chargers RB is a 43.7% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Los Angeles Chargers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | 11.3% |
| Ladd McConkey | 8.1% |
| Quentin Johnston | 6.4% |
New England Patriots
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 6.9% |
| Kayshon Boutte | 5.5% |
| Hunter Henry | 5.2% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Los Angeles Chargers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | 43.7% |
| Ladd McConkey | 33.4% |
| Quentin Johnston | 26.5% |
New England Patriots
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 30.2% |
| Kayshon Boutte | 24.2% |
| Hunter Henry | 22.9% |
Chargers vs Patriots Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Chargers and Patriots. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Chargers-Patriots page now to access every player prop projection.
Chargers vs. Patriots Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Justin Herbert is projected to throw for more yards than the Patriots' Drake Maye.
Chargers Rushing
J.K. Dobbins, Kimani Vidal and Justin Herbert are projected to be the leading rushers for the Chargers.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | RB |
| Kimani Vidal | RB |
| Justin Herbert | QB |
Patriots Rushing
Rhamondre Stevenson, Antonio Gibson and Drake Maye are expected to lead the Patriots in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB |
| Antonio Gibson | RB |
| Drake Maye | QB |
Chargers Receiving
Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston, Will Dissly, Joshua Palmer and DJ Chark are projected to top the receiving yards for the Chargers.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Ladd McConkey | WR |
| Quentin Johnston | WR |
| Will Dissly | TE |
| Joshua Palmer | WR |
| DJ Chark | WR |
Patriots Receiving
Kayshon Boutte, Hunter Henry, DeMario Douglas, Kendrick Bourne and Austin Hooper are projected to lead the Patriots in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Kayshon Boutte | WR |
| Hunter Henry | TE |
| DeMario Douglas | WR |
| Kendrick Bourne | WR |
| Austin Hooper | TE |
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Conclusion
We predict the Chargers, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Patriots in Week 17 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chargers vs. Patriots insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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