Aces vs. Lynx prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Saturday's WNBA matchup [8/8/2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Las Vegas Aces vs Minnesota Lynx predictions for WNBA Saturday.

Las Vegas Aces-Minnesota Lynx Predictions and Game Preview.
Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx WNBA prediction for Saturday, August 8, 2026.

The Minnesota Lynx will square off with the Las Vegas Aces in WNBA action at Target Center on Saturday, commencing at 1:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Lynx as the most likely winner in this Aces vs. Lynx prediction.

The Lynx, powered by Napheesa Collier, Kayla McBride and Olivia Miles, will face off against the Aces, who feature A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and NaLyssa Smith.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Aces vs. Lynx prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's WNBA game between the Aces and Lynx, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lynx a 71.0% chance of beating the Aces.

According to our model, the Lynx (-4.5) have a 54.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 183.5-point over/under has a 56.8% chance of staying under,.

 

Aces vs. Lynx odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Lynx -4.5 @ -108 via Polymarket
  • Moneyline: Lynx @ -180 via DraftKings
  • Total: Under 183.5 @ -110 via DraftKings

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Aces vs. Lynx picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Lynx -4.5 @ -108 via DraftKings
  • Moneyline: Lynx @ -180 via DraftKings
  • Total: Under 183.5 @ -110 via DraftKings According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Lynx to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Aces vs. Lynx player props

WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the Aces vs. Lynx game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 26 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists, while Napheesa Collier is projected to have 18 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists for the Lynx.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight A'ja Wilson as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Aces prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Aces are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
A'ja Wilson 26 9 3 1 52
Jackie Young 18 5 7 2 39
NaLyssa Smith 13 7 1 0 26
Chelsea Gray 12 3 7 2 33
Jewell Loyd 8 3 1 2 18

Lynx prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lynx:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
N. Collier 18 6 3 1 38
Kayla McBride 17 3 2 3 30
Olivia Miles 16 5 5 2 35
Natasha Howard 12 7 3 0 29
C. Williams 12 4 4 1 27

Aces vs. Lynx game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between the Lynx and Aces at Target Center is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Lynx, with a 71.0% win probability, will likely beat the Aces in Saturday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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