Pacers vs. Hawks prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Monday's NBA game [1/26/2026]

The Atlanta Hawks will square off with the Indiana Pacers in NBA action at State Farm Arena on Monday, starting at 1:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Pacers vs. Hawks game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature players like Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Onyeka Okongwu, while the Pacers will look to Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard and Aaron Nesmith.

This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Pacers vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA matchup between the Pacers and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Hawks a 70% chance of beating the Pacers. Our predicted final score has the Hawks winning 118-113.

According to our model, the Hawks (-5.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 234.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Pacers vs. Hawks odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Pacers	Hawks
Spread	+5.5 (-112)	-5.5 (-102)
Moneyline	+185	-210
Total	o234.5 (-105)	u234.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pacers vs. Hawks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Hawks -5.5	-102
Moneyline	Hawks	-210
Total	Under 234.5	-108

According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Under 234.5 total points.

Pacers vs. Hawks player props

Looking for Pacers vs. Hawks NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.

Pascal Siakam is expected to lead the Pacers with 23 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists, while Jalen Johnson is projected to have 26 points, 11 rebounds and 8 assists for the Hawks.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Pacers prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Pacers are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Pascal Siakam	23	7	5	2	45
Andrew Nembhard	17	3	7	2	36
Aaron Nesmith	15	6	2	3	31
B. Mathurin	14	4	2	2	26
Jarace Walker	10	5	2	2	24

Hawks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hawks:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Jalen Johnson	26	11	8	2	58
N. Alexander-Walker	19	4	3	3	35
Onyeka Okongwu	17	8	4	2	39
CJ McCollum	16	3	3	2	29
Dyson Daniels	12	7	6	0	36

Pacers vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details

Monday's action between the Hawks and Pacers at State Farm Arena is scheduled to commence at 1:30 PM ET.

• Who: Indiana Pacers vs. Atlanta Hawks
• Date: Monday, January 26, 2026
• Time: 1:30 PM ET/10:30AM PT
• Venue: State Farm Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Hawks, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers on Monday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 58 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pacers vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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