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Pacers vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pacers vs. Hawks NBA game on January 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
116
132
Jan 26, 6:30PM State Farm Arena
Jan 26, 6:30PM State Farm Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | 38 | 26 | 28 | 24 | 116 |
Hawks | 34 | 26 | 35 | 37 | 132 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | 38 | 26 | 28 | 24 | 116 |
Hawks | 34 | 26 | 35 | 37 | 132 |
Q4 00:22 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:28 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Hawks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:17 Pacers makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:00 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:53 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
116-132
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
114-130
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Quenton Jackson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
114-128
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
113-128
Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Christian Koloko, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Christian Koloko, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Christian Koloko, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Mouhamed Gueye)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
113-125
Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
+1
Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-125
Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Bennedict Mathurin, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam)
Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
Pacers turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
110-121
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
108-119
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
104-117
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+1
Johnny Furphy makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-112
+1
Johnny Furphy makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-112
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
102-112
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
100-112
+1
Aaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-109
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
98-109
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Johnny Furphy, Isaiah Jackson, Andrew Nembhard)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
98-107
Pacers turnover
Christian Koloko defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+1
Dyson Daniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-103
Dyson Daniels misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Isaiah Jackson, Pascal Siakam)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
98-102
Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Christian Koloko, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Hawks turnover
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert, Onyeka Okongwu)
+1
T.J. McConnell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-102
Hawks personal foul
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
92-99
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
92-97
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Hawks offensive rebound
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Isaiah Jackson, Pascal Siakam)
Pacers turnover
Micah Potter turnover (offensive foul)
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin, Isaiah Jackson, Andrew Nembhard)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
92-93
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
92-91
Mouhamed Gueye offensive rebound
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
92-88
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-85
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-81
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-82
Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-80
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Hawks personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
87-80
Pacers misses two point jump shot
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Hawks turnover
Pacers personal foul
+1
Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-76
Pacers turnover
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
85-74
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Micah Potter, Jarace Walker, Bennedict Mathurin, Andrew Nembhard)
Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Luke Kennard, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Christian Koloko)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
85-70
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Corey Kispert misses three point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks personal foul
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-70
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
81-68
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
78-68
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Jarace Walker turnover (bad pass)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
Hawks personal foul
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Corey Kispert makes regular free throw 2 of 3
73-67
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
73-65
Hawks personal foul
+1
Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-63
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
69-60
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
67-60
Jalen Johnson misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
64-60
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
62-58
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
62-55
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
60-52
Micah Potter defensive rebound
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Pacers turnover
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jarace Walker offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Hawks turnover
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
Pacers offensive rebound
Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
56-49
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Micah Potter, T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Bennedict Mathurin)
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
52-49
+1
Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-46
Hawks turnover
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
48-46
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Micah Potter, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Jarace Walker misses two point driving reverse layup
Hawks personal foul
Vit Krejci defensive rebound
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
46-43
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
44-41
Hawks defensive rebound
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Bennedict Mathurin, Isaiah Jackson)
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+1
Luke Kennard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-36
Hawks personal foul
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Jackson offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Hawks turnover
Hawks offensive rebound
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
40-34
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Jackson defensive rebound
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Hawks offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Isaiah Jackson, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Micah Potter, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
38-34
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
35-32
Hawks turnover
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
33-29
Pacers personal foul
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-27
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
30-22
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
28-20
Pacers turnover
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Micah Potter, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Pacers turnover
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
24-17
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Luke Kennard, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Christian Koloko)
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
18-13
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
18-11
Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Christian Koloko, Corey Kispert)
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Pacers turnover
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
16-11
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Hawks personal foul
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
14-9
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
12-6
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
10-6
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
7-4
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
4-2
Pacers defensive rebound
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
+2
Andrew Nembhard makes two point jump shot
2-2
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Johnny Furphy, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam)
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G-F | 0 | B. Mathurin | 16 | 2 | 1 |
| G | 55 | E. Thompson | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 7 | K. Jones | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 29 | Q. Jackson | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| C | 32 | J. Huff | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 2 | K. Wallace | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 27 | V. Krejci | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 18 | M. Gueye | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| C | 35 | C. Koloko | 12 | 4 | 1 |
| F | 24 | C. Kispert | 7 | 0 | 3 |
Game Prediction Article
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Pacers vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pacers vs. Hawks
- Date: Monday, January 26, 2026
- Time: 1:30 PM ET
- Venue: State Farm Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Hawks favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 234.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pacers +185, Hawks -210
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pacers: 30%
- Hawks: 70%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pacers 113-119 Hawks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 30%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 70%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Hawks are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at State Farm Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pacers vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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