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Guadalajara vs. Queretaro prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [1/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Guadalajara vs Queretaro predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Guadalajara and Queretaro will meet in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Akron on Saturday, starting at 6:07 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Guadalajara as the most likely winner of the Guadalajara vs. Queretaro game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Guadalajara vs. Queretaro prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX game between Guadalajara and Queretaro 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 68.0% chance of Guadalajara winning, a 12.1% chance for Queretaro, and a 19.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over, according to our model.
Guadalajara vs. Queretaro odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Guadalajara | Queretaro | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -275 | +750 | +410 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -142 | +112 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Guadalajara vs. Queretaro picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Queretaro | +750 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +112 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
Guadalajara vs. Queretaro: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Guadalajara win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| GUA 2-0 QUE | 13.4% |
| GUA 1-0 QUE | 13.3% |
| GUA 1-1 QUE | 9.4% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 43.8% chance of the yes hitting, and a 56.2% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Guadalajara vs. Queretaro game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between Guadalajara and Queretaro at Estadio Akron is scheduled to begin at 6:07 PM ET.
- Who: Guadalajara vs. Queretaro
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 6:07 PM ET/3:07PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Akron
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Guadalajara has a 68.0% win probability on Saturday, Queretaro has a 12.1% win probability, and there is a 19.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Guadalajara vs. Queretaro insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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