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Queretaro vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Queretaro vs. Guadalajara at the Liga MX on January 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Queretaro
1
2
Jan 17, 11:07PM Estadio Akron
Guadalajara
Jan 17, 11:07PM Estadio Akron
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
QueretaroQUT
A. Gonzalez (35')
Soccer ball icon
R. Alvarado (61')
Soccer ball icon
M. Coronel (81')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
QUT
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: F. Pena replaces S. Homenchenko
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces B. Gutierrez
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: Jhojan Julio replaces J. Gomez
84'
Yellow Card
M. A. Carcelen Carabali (Queretaro) cautioned
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Queretaro by M. Coronel
1-2
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces R. Ledezma
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: D. Campillo Del Campo replaces A. Gonzalez
73'
Yellow Card
A. Gonzalez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces E. Alvarez
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: F. Gonzalez replaces O. Govea
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: W. Madrid replaces J. Unjanque
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: M. A. Carcelen Carabali replaces B. Parra
61'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Alvarado, assisted by R. Ledezma
0-2
55'
Yellow Card
R. Ledezma (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
53'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: L. Rodriguez replaces C. Garcia
43'
Yellow Card
S. Homenchenko (Queretaro) cautioned
35'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez, assisted by D. Aguirre
0-1
21'
Yellow Card
A. Avila (Queretaro) cautioned

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Queretaro vs. Guadalajara: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Queretaro vs. Guadalajara prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Queretaro vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 6:07 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Akron
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Queretaro +950, Guadalajara -325, draw +450
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+122)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Queretaro: 11.3%
  • Guadalajara: 68.9%
  • Draw: 19.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Queretaro 0-2 Guadalajara, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Queretaro is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 11.3% probability, while Guadalajara sits at 68.9%, with the draw at 19.7%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Queretaro vs. Guadalajara prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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