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Queretaro vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Queretaro vs. Guadalajara Liga MX game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
Queretaro
1
2
Jan 17, 11:07PM Estadio Akron
Guadalajara
Jan 17, 11:07PM Estadio Akron
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
QueretaroQUT
A. Gonzalez (35')
R. Alvarado (61')
M. Coronel (81')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
QUT
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: F. Pena replaces S. Homenchenko
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces B. Gutierrez
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: Jhojan Julio replaces J. Gomez
84'
Yellow Card
M. A. Carcelen Carabali (Queretaro) cautioned
81'
Goal scored for Queretaro by M. Coronel
1-2
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces R. Ledezma
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: D. Campillo Del Campo replaces A. Gonzalez
73'
Yellow Card
A. Gonzalez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces E. Alvarez
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: F. Gonzalez replaces O. Govea
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: W. Madrid replaces J. Unjanque
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: M. A. Carcelen Carabali replaces B. Parra
61'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Alvarado, assisted by R. Ledezma
0-2
55'
Yellow Card
R. Ledezma (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
53'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: L. Rodriguez replaces C. Garcia
43'
Yellow Card
S. Homenchenko (Queretaro) cautioned
35'
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez, assisted by D. Aguirre
0-1
21'
Yellow Card
A. Avila (Queretaro) cautioned

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Queretaro vs. Guadalajara: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Queretaro vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 6:07 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Akron

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Queretaro +950, Guadalajara -325, Draw +450
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-150/+122)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Queretaro: 11.3%
  • Guadalajara: 68.9%
  • Draw: 19.7%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Queretaro 0-2 Guadalajara, which has a correct score probability of 14%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Guadalajara a win probability of 68.9%, while Queretaro has a win probability of 11.3%. The chance of a draw is 19.7%.

Summary

Our Queretaro vs. Guadalajara predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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