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Warriors vs. Kings prediction: Golden State to win, Stephen Curry projected for 26 points in Friday's NBA game [4/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings predictions for NBA Friday.
NBA action continues on Friday at 10:00 PM ET as the Golden State Warriors take on the Sacramento Kings at Golden 1 Center.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Warriors vs. Kings game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Kings lineup will feature stars like Daeqwon Plowden, Devin Carter and Maxime Raynaud, while the Warriors will rely on Stephen Curry, Kristaps Porzingis and De'Anthony Melton.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Warriors vs. Kings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA matchup between the Warriors and Kings, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Warriors a 79% chance of beating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 119-109.
According to our model, the Kings (+10.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 229.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Warriors vs. Kings odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Warriors | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -10.5 (-114) | +10.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | -490 | +390 |
| Total | o229.5 (-108) | u229.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Warriors vs. Kings picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kings +10.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Kings | +390 |
| Total | Over 229.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Kings +10.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Warriors vs. Kings player props
NBA player props are an exciting way to wager on Friday's Golden State vs. Sacramento game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Golden 1 Center.
Stephen Curry is expected to lead the Warriors with 26 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists, while Daeqwon Plowden is projected to have 14 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists for the Kings.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Warriors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Warriors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 26 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 43 |
| K. Porzingis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
| D. Melton | 17 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
| Gui Santos | 16 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 34 |
| B. Podziemski | 15 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 33 |
Kings prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Kings:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daeqwon Plowden | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
| Devin Carter | 13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
| Maxime Raynaud | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 28 |
| Nique Clifford | 12 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 29 |
| Doug McDermott | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
Warriors vs. Kings game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Kings and Warriors at Golden 1 Center is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings
- Date: Friday, April 10, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Golden 1 Center
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat the Kings in Friday's NBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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