Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers prediction: Why Portland is favored to win Monday's NBA game [12/29/2025]

The Portland Trail Blazers will take on the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action at Moda Center on Monday, beginning at 10:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Trail Blazers as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Trail Blazers lineup will feature players like Deni Avdija, Shaedon Sharpe and Toumani Camara, while the Mavericks will look to Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington and Brandon Williams.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Mavs vs. Blazers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA matchup between the Mavericks and Trail Blazers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Trail Blazers a 60% chance of beating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Trail Blazers winning 117-114.

According to our model, the Trail Blazers (-2.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 232.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mavericks	Trail Blazers
Spread	+2.5 (-105)	-2.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+124	-135
Total	o232.5 (-110)	u232.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Trail Blazers -2.5	-110
Moneyline	Trail Blazers	-135
Total	Under 232.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Trail Blazers to win.

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers player props

NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Monday's Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.

Cooper Flagg is expected to lead the Mavericks with 22 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists, while Deni Avdija is projected to have 27 points, 8 rebounds and 8 assists for the Trail Blazers.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Mavericks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Cooper Flagg	22	7	4	1	44
P.J. Washington	17	7	2	2	37
B. Williams	13	3	4	1	29
Naji Marshall	13	5	3	1	27
Klay Thompson	12	3	2	2	21

Trail Blazers prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Trail Blazers:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Deni Avdija	27	8	8	2	56
Shaedon Sharpe	23	6	3	2	40
Toumani Camara	15	5	3	3	32
Donovan Clingan	13	12	2	1	37
Caleb Love	11	4	3	2	22

Mavs vs. Blazers game-day updates and essential details

Monday's game between the Trail Blazers and Mavericks at Moda Center is scheduled to begin at 10:30 PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Portland Trail Blazers
• Date: Monday, December 29, 2025
• Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
• Venue: Moda Center

Conclusion

We predict the Trail Blazers, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Monday, with Deni Avdija projected for a game-high 56 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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