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Nets vs. Mavericks prediction: Dallas favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [1/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Brooklyn Nets vs Dallas Mavericks predictions for NBA Monday.
The Dallas Mavericks will take on the Brooklyn Nets in NBA action at American Airlines Center on Monday, commencing at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Mavericks as the most likely winner of the Nets vs. Mavericks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Mavericks lineup will feature players like Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall and Max Christie, while the Nets will rely on Michael Porter, Cam Thomas and Noah Clowney.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Nets vs. Mavs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA game between the Nets and Mavericks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mavericks a 66% chance of defeating the Nets. Our predicted final score has the Mavericks winning 111-106.
According to our model, the Mavericks (-4.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 219.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Nets vs. Mavericks odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nets | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-118) | -4.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | +144 | -162 |
| Total | o219.5 (-110) | u219.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nets vs. Mavericks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mavericks -4.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Mavericks | -162 |
| Total | Under 219.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks to win.
Nets vs. Mavericks player props
NBA player props are a common way to wager on the Nets vs. Mavericks matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.
Michael Porter is expected to lead the Nets with 23 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Cooper Flagg is projected to have 22 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists for the Mavericks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Nets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Nets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter | 23 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 41 |
| Cam Thomas | 16 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
| Noah Clowney | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 27 |
| Nic Claxton | 13 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 34 |
| Egor Demin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 28 |
Mavericks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mavericks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 22 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 44 |
| Naji Marshall | 15 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| Max Christie | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| Klay Thompson | 12 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 22 |
| Daniel Gafford | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 29 |
Nets vs. Mavs game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Mavericks and Nets at American Airlines Center is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Brooklyn Nets vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Date: Monday, January 12, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Conclusion
We predict the Mavericks, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Nets on Monday, with Cooper Flagg projected for a game-high 44 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nets vs. Mavericks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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