Nets vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nets vs. Mavericks NBA game on January 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Nets
105
113
American Airlines Center
Mavericks
American Airlines Center
TEAM1234T
Nets
23 22 32 28 105
Mavericks
32 24 28 29 113
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nets
    <1%
  • Mavericks
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Nets
23 22 32 28 105
Mavericks
32 24 28 29 113
Q4 00:15 Nets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:27 Nets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Nets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Nets misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:29 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:51 Nets makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:34 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:51 Nets misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:06 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:15
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  3. Q4 00:20
    Nets personal foul
  4. Q4 00:20
    Cooper Flagg misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  5. Q4 00:20
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  6. Q4 00:20
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-113
  7. Q4 00:26
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  8. Q4 00:27
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  9. Q4 00:34
    Mavericks turnover
  10. Q4 00:43
    Noah Clowney offensive rebound
  11. Q4 00:43
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    105-112
  12. Q4 00:45
    Nic Claxton offensive rebound
  13. Q4 00:56
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  14. Q4 1:06
    Nets personal foul
  15. Q4 1:22
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  16. Q4 1:41
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  17. Q4 2:29
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    100-107
  18. Q4 2:51
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    100-105
  19. Q4 3:34
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    95-103
  20. Q4 3:40
    Dwight Powell defensive rebound
  21. Q4 3:47
    Mavericks turnover
  22. Q4 3:51
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  23. Q4 4:06
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  24. Q4 4:35
    Jump ball. Nic Claxton (Drake Powell gains possession)
  25. Q4 4:39
    Mavericks personal foul
  26. Q4 4:39
    Instant replay
  27. Q4 4:39
    Nets offensive rebound
  28. Q4 5:13
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    95-99
  29. Q4 5:15
    Nets offensive rebound
  30. Q4 5:31
    Nets personal foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
  31. Q4 5:31
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  32. Q4 5:31
    +1
    Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    93-99
  33. Q4 6:05
    +3
    Nets makes three point jump shot
    93-96
  34. Q4 6:21
    +3
    Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
    90-96
  35. Q4 6:35
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot (Nolan Traore assists)
    90-93
  36. Q4 7:16
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot (Noah Clowney assists)
    88-91
  37. Q4 7:34
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  38. Q4 7:53
    +2
    Jalen Wilson makes two point jump shot
    86-91
  39. Q4 7:56
    Jalen Wilson defensive rebound
  40. Q4 8:11
    Mavericks personal foul
  41. Q4 8:11
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, Dwight Powell, Jaden Hardy)
  42. Q4 8:11
    +1
    Jalen Wilson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    84-91
  43. Q4 8:27
    Dwight Powell defensive rebound
  44. Q4 8:50
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    82-91
  45. Q4 9:05
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    82-88
  46. Q4 9:55
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    80-86
  47. Q4 10:15
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  48. Q4 10:16
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  49. Q4 10:32
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  50. Q4 10:56
    Mavericks turnover
  51. Q4 11:16
    Nets turnover
  52. Q4 11:21
    Jalen Wilson defensive rebound
  53. Q3 00:01
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    77-84
  54. Q3 00:04
    Nets personal foul
  55. Q3 00:14
    Nets turnover
  56. Q3 00:30
    Day'Ron Sharpe defensive rebound
  57. Q3 00:58
    Mavericks turnover
  58. Q3 00:58
    Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Miles Kelly, Klay Thompson, Dwight Powell, Cooper Flagg)
  59. Q3 1:11
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    75-82
  60. Q3 1:48
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    73-79
  61. Q3 2:13
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  62. Q3 2:35
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    71-76
  63. Q3 2:53
    +1
    Noah Clowney makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    70-74
  64. Q3 2:53
    Nets lineup change (Tyrese Martin, Nolan Traore, Day'Ron Sharpe, Noah Clowney, Jalen Wilson)
  65. Q3 3:06
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  66. Q3 3:16
    Terance Mann defensive rebound
  67. Q3 3:47
    Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
  68. Q3 3:47
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    67-74
  69. Q3 4:04
    Mavericks personal foul
  70. Q3 4:40
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Moussa Cisse)
  71. Q3 4:40
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Moussa Cisse)
  72. Q3 4:40
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Moussa Cisse)
  73. Q3 4:53
    +3
    Nets makes three point jump shot
    65-72
  74. Q3 5:09
    Nets lineup change (Tyrese Martin, Michael Porter Jr., Day'Ron Sharpe, Noah Clowney, Terance Mann)
  75. Q3 5:10
    +3
    Max Christie makes three point jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
    62-72
  76. Q3 5:15
    Drake Powell turnover
  77. Q3 6:02
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    60-67
  78. Q3 6:20
    +2
    Drake Powell makes two point pullup jump shot
    60-65
  79. Q3 6:37
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  80. Q3 6:37
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  81. Q3 6:37
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg, Moussa Cisse)
  82. Q3 6:42
    Nets turnover
  83. Q3 7:32
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    58-63
  84. Q3 7:45
    Dwight Powell turnover (lost ball)
  85. Q3 7:55
    Drake Powell defensive rebound
  86. Q3 7:58
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  87. Q3 8:19
    Mavericks personal foul
  88. Q3 8:30
    Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  89. Q3 8:30
    Mavericks personal foul
  90. Q3 8:32
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  91. Q3 8:39
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  92. Q3 8:46
    Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  93. Q3 8:50
    Jaden Hardy offensive rebound
  94. Q3 8:52
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  95. Q3 9:07
    +3
    Nets makes three point jump shot
    54-63
  96. Q3 9:13
    Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  97. Q3 9:35
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    51-63
  98. Q3 9:45
    Nic Claxton defensive rebound
  99. Q3 10:00
    Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
  100. Q3 10:03
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  101. Q3 10:45
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    49-61
  102. Q3 11:06
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    47-61
  103. Q3 11:25
    Nic Claxton offensive rebound
  104. Q3 11:29
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  105. Q2 00:00
    +3
    Nets makes three point jump shot
    45-56
  106. Q2 00:00
    Instant replay
  107. Q3 12:00
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Michael Porter Jr., Noah Clowney, Drake Powell, Terance Mann)
  108. Q3 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Dwight Powell, Cooper Flagg, Jaden Hardy)
  109. Q2 00:08
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    42-55
  110. Q2 00:08
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    42-56
  111. Q2 00:08
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Dwight Powell, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
  112. Q2 00:14
    Nets personal foul
  113. Q2 00:49
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    42-54
  114. Q2 00:52
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  115. Q2 00:52
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  116. Q2 1:08
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    40-54
  117. Q2 1:16
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  118. Q2 1:35
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  119. Q2 1:57
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    40-52
  120. Q2 2:15
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    38-52
  121. Q2 2:32
    Mavericks personal foul
  122. Q2 2:32
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  123. Q2 3:01
    Michael Porter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
  124. Q2 3:01
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Michael Porter Jr., Danny Wolf, Terance Mann)
  125. Q2 3:21
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  126. Q2 3:37
    Nets turnover
  127. Q2 3:37
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Naji Marshall, Dwight Powell, Cooper Flagg)
  128. Q2 3:50
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  129. Q2 3:55
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  130. Q2 3:59
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  131. Q2 4:08
    Nic Claxton defensive rebound
  132. Q2 4:22
    Nets personal foul
  133. Q2 4:40
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  134. Q2 5:32
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    36-45
  135. Q2 5:58
    +3
    Nets makes three point jump shot
    36-43
  136. Q2 6:13
    Moussa Cisse turnover (offensive foul)
  137. Q2 6:18
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  138. Q2 6:18
    Nets personal foul
  139. Q2 6:38
    +3
    Nets makes three point jump shot
    33-43
  140. Q2 6:56
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Michael Porter Jr., Noah Clowney, Drake Powell, Terance Mann)
  141. Q2 6:58
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    30-43
  142. Q2 7:09
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  143. Q2 7:38
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Michael Porter Jr., Noah Clowney, Drake Powell)
  144. Q2 7:38
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Moussa Cisse, Jaden Hardy)
  145. Q2 7:51
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    30-39
  146. Q2 7:58
    Day'Ron Sharpe defensive rebound
  147. Q2 8:12
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  148. Q2 8:15
    Mavericks personal foul
  149. Q2 8:15
    Danny Wolf misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  150. Q2 8:26
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    27-39
  151. Q2 8:45
    Nets offensive rebound
  152. Q2 8:51
    Nets turnover
  153. Q2 8:51
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, Dwight Powell, Cooper Flagg, Jaden Hardy)
  154. Q2 9:17
    Dwight Powell defensive rebound
  155. Q2 9:19
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  156. Q2 9:40
    Mavericks personal foul
  157. Q2 9:51
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  158. Q2 10:01
    Dwight Powell defensive rebound
  159. Q2 10:03
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  160. Q2 10:22
    Day'Ron Sharpe defensive rebound
  161. Q2 10:24
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  162. Q2 10:50
    Mavericks turnover
  163. Q2 10:57
    Caleb Martin defensive rebound
  164. Q2 11:04
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  165. Q2 11:10
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    25-35
  166. Q2 11:13
    Day'Ron Sharpe offensive rebound
  167. Q1 00:00
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  168. Q1 00:22
    Nets personal foul
  169. Q1 00:22
    Caleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  170. Q1 00:22
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  171. Q1 00:22
    +1
    Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    23-32
  172. Q1 00:24
    Klay Thompson offensive rebound
  173. Q1 00:46
    Mavericks personal foul
  174. Q1 00:46
    +1
    Day'Ron Sharpe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    22-31
  175. Q1 00:46
    +1
    Day'Ron Sharpe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    23-31
  176. Q1 00:47
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  177. Q1 1:00
    Mavericks turnover
  178. Q1 1:13
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  179. Q1 1:30
    Day'Ron Sharpe defensive rebound
  180. Q1 1:31
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  181. Q1 1:55
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  182. Q1 1:55
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  183. Q1 1:56
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  184. Q1 2:08
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  185. Q1 2:12
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  186. Q1 2:23
    Mavericks turnover
  187. Q1 2:39
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    21-28
  188. Q1 2:57
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  189. Q1 3:12
    Mavericks turnover
  190. Q1 3:13
    Nets lineup change (Tyrese Martin, Nolan Traore, Danny Wolf, Day'Ron Sharpe, Jalen Wilson)
  191. Q1 3:36
    Day'Ron Sharpe offensive rebound
  192. Q1 3:37
    +1
    Day'Ron Sharpe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    17-25
  193. Q1 3:38
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  194. Q1 3:42
    Day'Ron Sharpe offensive rebound
  195. Q1 3:42
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  196. Q1 4:10
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    17-25
  197. Q1 4:25
    Nets lineup change (Tyrese Martin, Nolan Traore, Michael Porter Jr., Danny Wolf, Day'Ron Sharpe)
  198. Q1 4:28
    Day'Ron Sharpe offensive rebound
  199. Q1 4:50
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    15-22
  200. Q1 5:04
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  201. Q1 5:16
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  202. Q1 5:24
    Danny Wolf defensive rebound
  203. Q1 5:26
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  204. Q1 5:37
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    13-20
  205. Q1 6:08
    Nets turnover
  206. Q1 6:15
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  207. Q1 6:16
    Mavericks personal foul
  208. Q1 6:42
    Nets personal foul
  209. Q1 6:42
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  210. Q1 6:42
    Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Danny Wolf, Day'Ron Sharpe, Drake Powell, Terance Mann)
  211. Q1 6:42
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Dwight Powell, Cooper Flagg, Jaden Hardy)
  212. Q1 6:42
    +1
    Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    11-18
  213. Q1 6:42
    Dwight Powell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  214. Q1 7:26
    Nets personal foul
  215. Q1 7:26
    Nic Claxton turnover (offensive foul)
  216. Q1 7:33
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  217. Q1 7:52
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  218. Q1 8:05
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    11-14
  219. Q1 8:15
    Mavericks personal foul
  220. Q1 8:15
    +1
    Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    10-12
  221. Q1 8:55
    Terance Mann defensive rebound
  222. Q1 8:58
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  223. Q1 9:05
    Noah Clowney defensive rebound
  224. Q1 9:07
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  225. Q1 9:29
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    6-9
  226. Q1 9:39
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    6-8
  227. Q1 9:56
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    4-8
  228. Q1 10:05
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  229. Q1 10:21
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    4-5
  230. Q1 10:30
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  231. Q1 10:36
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  232. Q1 10:47
    Nets personal foul
  233. Q1 10:50
    Nets personal foul
  234. Q1 11:00
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    4-2
  235. Q1 11:14
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    2-2
  236. Q1 12:00
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Michael Porter Jr., Noah Clowney, Drake Powell, Terance Mann)
  237. Q1 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Dwight Powell, Cooper Flagg, Jaden Hardy)
  238. Q1 12:00
    (Drake Powell gains possession)
Box Score
Nets
PosPlayerPts
Mavericks
PosPlayerPts

Nets vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nets vs. Mavericks
  • Date: Monday, January 12, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mavericks favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nets +132, Mavericks -150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nets: 36%
  • Mavericks: 64%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nets 107-111 Mavericks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nets a win probability of 36%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 64%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mavericks are more likely to beat the Nets in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nets vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.