Atlas vs. Monterrey prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [8/1/2026]
Get Atlas vs Monterrey predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Liga MX action continues on Saturday at 9:05 PM ET as Monterrey takes on Atlas at Estadio Jalisco.
Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Monterrey as the most likely winner in this Atlas vs. Monterrey prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Atlas vs. Monterrey prediction: Who will win?
Our famous predictive model suggests a 35.0% chance of Atlas winning, a 39.2% chance for Monterrey, and a 25.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 50.3% chance of going over, with a 54.6% probability that both teams score.
Atlas vs. Monterrey odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Atlas | Monterrey | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +165 | +175 | +220 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +115 | -132 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Atlas vs. Monterrey picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Monterrey @ +175 via Bet365
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +115 via Bet365
According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Atlas vs. Monterrey: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ATS 1-1 MNT | 12.3% |
| ATS 0-1 MNT | 9.5% |
| ATS 1-0 MNT | 8.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 45.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Atlas vs. Monterrey game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Atlas and Monterrey at Estadio Jalisco is scheduled to begin at 9:05 PM ET.
- Who: Atlas vs. Monterrey
- Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
- Time: 9:05 PM ET/6:05PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Jalisco
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Atlas has a 35.0% win probability on Saturday, Monterrey has a 39.2% win probability, and there is a 25.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
